AMD Unveils AI‑Focused Growth Plan, Projects $9.6 B Q4 Revenue and 54.5% Gross Margin

AMD
November 12, 2025

AMD announced its first Financial Analyst Day on November 11, 2025, revealing a bold long‑term growth plan that projects total company revenue to rise more than 35% per year over the next three to five years. The company also guided Q4 2025 revenue to $9.6 billion, plus or minus $300 million, and non‑GAAP gross margin to 54.5%, a slight tightening from the 54% margin reported in Q3 2025. The guidance reflects a mix shift toward higher‑margin AI and data‑center products, while the modest margin compression signals the company’s continued investment in research and manufacturing capacity.

AMD’s Q3 2025 results—$9.2 billion in revenue, up 36% year‑over‑year—set the backdrop for the new outlook. Data‑center revenue, the fastest‑growing segment, rose 22% to $4.3 billion, driven by strong demand for EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs in cloud and enterprise workloads. Client and gaming revenue jumped 73% to $4.0 billion, reflecting a surge in high‑performance gaming and professional graphics, while embedded revenue fell 8% to $857 million as the company’s automotive and edge‑device customers faced supply‑chain constraints.

The company’s gross‑margin guidance of 54.5% for Q4 2025 is slightly below the 54% margin reported in Q3 2025, a change that management attributes to higher raw‑material costs and the upfront expense of scaling its new MI400 GPU line. However, the margin remains robust because the higher‑margin AI and data‑center contracts offset the cost pressure, and AMD’s operational leverage continues to improve as production volumes increase.

AMD’s AI strategy centers on three pillars: a 6‑gigawatt partnership with OpenAI, a 50,000‑GPU deployment for Oracle, and the launch of the MI400 GPU series and Helios rack‑scale system in 2026. The OpenAI deal includes warrants that could give the company up to 10% of AMD’s equity if deployment milestones are met, underscoring the strategic importance of the partnership. Oracle’s deployment of 50,000 AMD GPUs across its global data centers will accelerate the adoption of AMD’s Instinct platform in large‑scale AI workloads. The MI400 and Helios platforms are expected to deliver up to ten‑fold performance gains for frontier AI models, positioning AMD to compete directly with Nvidia’s high‑end accelerators.

Segment‑level analysis shows that data‑center AI revenue is projected to grow 60% annually through 2030, while overall data‑center revenue is expected to rise 80% per year for AI‑specific revenue. These growth rates reflect the rapid expansion of AI workloads in cloud and enterprise environments, and AMD’s ability to capture a share of the projected $1 trillion AI data‑center market by 2030. The company’s focus on a full‑stack solution—combining EPYC CPUs, Instinct GPUs, and Helios systems—provides a competitive advantage by offering integrated performance and software support through the ROCm ecosystem.

Dr. Lisa Su, AMD’s Chair and CEO, emphasized that the company’s “new era of growth is fueled by our leadership technology roadmaps and accelerating AI momentum.” CFO Jean Hu added that the record Q3 2025 performance and strong Q4 guidance “reflect the strength of our leadership portfolio and disciplined execution.” Together, the statements signal confidence in sustaining high growth while managing the costs associated with scaling AI infrastructure.

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