The Q1 2025 Fannie Mae Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES) revealed a downward revision in the forecast for national home price growth for 2025 and 2026. A panel of over 100 housing experts now projects average growth of 3.4% in 2025 and 3.3% in 2026.
These figures represent revisions from last quarter's expectations of 3.8% for 2025 and 3.6% for 2026. The panel still expects 5.8% growth in 2024, indicating a moderation in the pace of appreciation in subsequent years.
A downward revision in future home price growth forecasts suggests a more moderate appreciation environment, which could impact the collateral value of Fannie Mae's guaranteed loans. This outlook influences the company's credit risk assessments and overall market strategy.
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