Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group released its June 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook on June 23, 2025. The forecast for existing single-family home sales in 2025 was revised lower to 4.14 million units.
This represents a decrease from the previous month's forecast of 4.24 million units. The revisions were primarily driven by the ESR Group's higher expectations for mortgage rates, which are now predicted to end 2025 and 2026 at 6.5% and 6.1%, respectively.
The updated outlook indicates continued challenges for the housing market, with higher mortgage rates expected to dampen sales activity. This trend suggests ongoing headwinds for Fannie Mae's mortgage origination and acquisition volumes.
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