Avista Corporation (AVA): A Resilient Utility Powering Sustainable Growth

Avista Corporation (AVA) is a diversified energy company providing electric and natural gas services to customers in the Pacific Northwest and Alaska. With a history dating back to 1889, Avista has established itself as a reliable and forward-thinking utility, adapting to the evolving energy landscape while maintaining a steadfast commitment to its customers and shareholders.

Business Overview and History

Avista Corporation was incorporated in the territory of Washington in 1889, initially focused on the development of hydroelectric power to serve the region's growing energy needs. Over the decades, the company has expanded its operations, diversifying its energy portfolio and geographic footprint to meet the evolving demands of its customer base.

Today, Avista Utilities, the company's regulated utility division, provides electric and natural gas services to over 800,000 customers across Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and Montana. The company's subsidiary, Alaska Electric Light and Power Company (AEL&P), serves the city of Juneau, Alaska, further expanding Avista's reach.

Avista's energy mix is well-balanced, with approximately 44% of its electricity generation coming from hydroelectric sources, 43% from thermal (primarily natural gas), and 13% from other renewable resources such as wind and solar. This diversification has enabled the company to navigate various market conditions and regulatory changes, maintaining a reliable and cost-effective energy supply for its customers.

In recent years, Avista has faced significant operational and regulatory challenges. The passage of the Clean Energy Transformation Act (CETA) in Washington State in 2019 prompted the company to adapt its strategy regarding coal-fired generation. As a result, Avista entered into an agreement in 2023 to transfer its ownership in Colstrip Units 3 and 4 to NorthWestern Corporation by the end of 2025, aligning with the CETA's prohibition on sales of coal-generated energy to Washington retail customers after December 31, 2025.

The company has also implemented a Wildfire Resiliency Plan to address the increasing frequency and intensity of severe weather events. This plan focuses on system hardening, enhanced vegetation management, situational awareness, and operational response measures to mitigate risks to energy generation, transmission, and distribution.

Avista's commitment to infrastructure investment remains strong, with the company reporting $510 million in capital expenditures at Avista Utilities and $23 million at AEL&P in 2024. These investments are aimed at enhancing service reliability and meeting customer needs while aligning with evolving clean energy policies and goals.

Financial Performance and Strength

Financials

Avista Corporation has demonstrated consistent financial performance over the years. In 2024, the company reported operating revenues of $1.94 billion, an increase from $1.75 billion in 2023. Net income attributable to Avista Corporation shareholders was $180 million in 2024, compared to $171 million in 2023.

The company's earnings per diluted share (EPS) for 2024 were $2.29, up from $2.24 in 2023. This performance was near the midpoint of the company's original expectations. Avista's utility earnings in 2024 improved nearly 5% from 2023, demonstrating the strength of its core business.

For 2025, Avista is initiating a consolidated earnings guidance range of $2.52 to $2.72 per diluted share. The midpoint of this guidance range includes a $0.12 per share negative impact from the energy recovery mechanism and assumes zero contribution from Avista's other businesses. Avista Utilities is expected to contribute $2.43 to $2.61 per diluted share, while AEL&P is projected to contribute $0.09 to $0.11 per diluted share in 2025.

Looking ahead, assuming constructive outcomes in Idaho and Oregon rate cases and without any incremental generation or large load opportunities, Avista expects long-term earnings growth of 4% to 6% from the 2025 forecast base. This growth rate may be adjusted based on future investment opportunities and regulatory outcomes.

In the most recent quarter (Q4 2024), Avista reported revenue of $532.77 million and net income of $67.16 million. The company attributed the year-over-year decrease in Q4 net income primarily to higher operating expenses, depreciation and amortization, taxes, and interest expense, partially offset by increased utility margins from general rate case effects and customer growth.

Liquidity

Avista maintains a strong liquidity position, which is crucial for funding its ongoing operations and capital expenditure programs. As of December 31, 2024, the company had $30 million in cash and cash equivalents. Additionally, Avista has access to $153 million under a $500 million committed line of credit, plus $38 million under a $50 million letter of credit facility, providing further financial flexibility.

The company's debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.20 as of December 31, 2024. Avista's current ratio was 0.85, and its quick ratio was 0.60, indicating the company's ability to meet its short-term obligations.

Avista generated $534 million in operating cash flow for the fiscal year 2024, with free cash flow of $1 million after accounting for capital expenditures and other investments.

Business Segments

Avista Corporation operates through two primary business segments: Avista Utilities and Alaska Electric Light and Power Company (AEL&P).

Avista Utilities

Avista Utilities is the larger of the two segments, comprising the regulated utility operations in Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and Montana. This division provides electric distribution and transmission, as well as natural gas distribution services, to approximately 422,000 electric customers and 383,000 natural gas customers across a 30,000 square mile service territory with a population of 1.7 million.

Avista Utilities has a diverse electric resource mix, with approximately 44% hydroelectric, 43% thermal, and 13% other renewables as of December 31, 2024. The company owns and operates several hydroelectric, natural gas, and renewable generation facilities, along with an extensive transmission and distribution network, to serve its customer load. Key generating assets include the Noxon Rapids and Cabinet Gorge hydroelectric projects, as well as thermal facilities like the Coyote Springs 2 combined-cycle natural gas plant and the company's 15% ownership stake in the Colstrip coal-fired units 3 and 4 in Montana.

In 2024, Avista Utilities had total electric operating revenues of $1.30 billion and total natural gas operating revenues of $606 million. Electric retail revenues made up the majority at $982 million, followed by wholesale electric revenues of $225 million. On the natural gas side, retail revenues were $493 million and wholesale revenues were $61 million. The utility also recognized $35 million in alternative revenue programs related to its electric and natural gas decoupling mechanisms.

Overall, Avista Utilities contributed $179 million in net income to the consolidated results in 2024, an increase from $167 million in 2023, driven by the impacts of recent general rate cases in its service territories. The utility continues to make significant capital investments to maintain and enhance its electric and natural gas infrastructure, spending $510 million in 2024.

Alaska Electric Light and Power Company (AEL&P)

AEL&P, a wholly-owned subsidiary, is Avista's regulated utility operations in Juneau, Alaska. AEL&P provides electric service to approximately 17,800 customers in the Juneau area. The utility's generation mix is predominantly hydroelectric, with 102.7 MW of hydro capacity from its own facilities and a power purchase agreement for the Snettisham hydroelectric project. AEL&P also has 107.5 MW of backup diesel generating capacity.

In 2024, AEL&P reported operating revenues of $50 million, up from $48 million in 2023, with retail electric revenues making up the majority at $49 million. Net income for AEL&P was $8 million in 2024, compared to $9 million in the prior year. AEL&P spent $23 million on capital expenditures in 2024 to maintain and enhance its electric system.

Other Business Segments

The Avista Corporation also has other non-reportable business segments, which include various investments and operations of its subsidiaries outside the core utility activities. These other businesses contributed $7 million in net income in 2024, up from $5 million in 2023.

Regulatory Landscape and Rate Cases

Avista operates in a highly regulated environment, with its utility operations subject to oversight by state public utility commissions in Washington, Idaho, Oregon, Montana, and Alaska. The regulatory landscape plays a crucial role in shaping the company's operations, financial performance, and strategic decisions.

In recent years, Avista has been actively engaged in rate cases across its service territories to ensure that its rates accurately reflect the costs of providing reliable energy services. Notable developments include:

1. Washington: In March 2023, Avista filed a general rate case with the Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission (WUTC) requesting an increase in electric and natural gas base rates.

2. Idaho: The Idaho Public Utilities Commission approved a settlement agreement in December 2022, allowing for an increase in electric and natural gas base rates effective December 1, 2022.

3. Oregon: In March 2023, Avista filed a natural gas general rate case with the Public Utility Commission of Oregon, seeking recovery of costs associated with infrastructure investments and increased operating expenses.

These rate cases are critical for Avista's ability to recover its costs and earn a fair return on its investments, which in turn supports the company's ongoing efforts to maintain and improve its energy infrastructure.

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Initiatives

Avista has demonstrated a strong commitment to environmental stewardship, social responsibility, and effective governance practices. The company's ESG initiatives are integral to its long-term strategy and include:

1. Clean Energy Goals: Avista aims to provide 100% clean electricity to its customers by 2045 and to be carbon neutral by 2050. The company has already made significant progress, with nearly 60% of its current energy mix coming from renewable sources.

2. Environmental Stewardship: Avista actively manages its natural resources, including fish and wildlife habitats around its hydroelectric facilities. The company also invests in energy efficiency programs to help customers reduce their energy consumption and carbon footprint.

3. Community Engagement: Through the Avista Foundation, the company supports various community initiatives focused on education, vulnerable and limited income populations, economic and cultural vitality, and environmental stewardship.

4. Diversity and Inclusion: Avista is committed to fostering a diverse and inclusive workplace, with initiatives aimed at increasing representation of underrepresented groups in its workforce and leadership.

5. Governance: The company maintains a strong corporate governance structure, with a diverse and independent board of directors overseeing the company's operations and strategy.

These ESG initiatives not only align with growing investor and customer expectations but also position Avista to navigate the evolving regulatory landscape and capitalize on opportunities in the clean energy transition.

Growth Opportunities and Outlook

Despite operating in a mature industry, Avista continues to pursue growth opportunities that align with its core competencies and strategic objectives. Key areas of focus include:

1. Infrastructure Investment: Avista plans to invest significantly in its utility infrastructure over the coming years, focusing on grid modernization, renewable energy integration, and system reliability improvements.

2. Clean Energy Transition: The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions, leveraging its existing renewable assets and investing in new technologies such as energy storage and smart grid systems.

3. Customer-Centric Solutions: Avista is developing new products and services to meet evolving customer needs, including electric vehicle charging infrastructure and distributed energy resources.

4. Regional Economic Growth: The company stands to benefit from continued population and economic growth in its service territories, particularly in urban areas of Washington and Idaho.

5. Regulatory Partnerships: Avista aims to work collaboratively with regulators to develop innovative rate structures and policies that support clean energy goals while ensuring fair returns for the company.

The company's long-term earnings growth target is 4% to 6% annually, driven by rate base growth and cost management initiatives. However, this outlook remains subject to various risks, including regulatory outcomes, weather patterns, and broader economic conditions.

Human Capital

As of December 31, 2024, Avista Utilities employed 1,950 individuals, with bargaining unit employees comprising 36% of the overall workforce. The company places a strong emphasis on employee attraction, development, retention, workplace safety, and innovation. These initiatives are crucial for maintaining a skilled and motivated workforce capable of delivering high-quality service to customers and driving the company's strategic objectives forward.

Industry Trends

The electric and natural gas utility industry has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2-3% in recent years. This growth has been driven by several factors, including customer growth, infrastructure investments, and an increased focus on renewable energy and sustainability. As a well-established player in this sector, Avista is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends while navigating the challenges of regulatory changes and evolving customer expectations.

Conclusion

Avista Corporation represents a stable investment opportunity in the utility sector, backed by a long operating history, diverse energy portfolio, and strong commitment to sustainability. The company's focus on clean energy transition, infrastructure investment, and customer-centric solutions positions it well for long-term growth.

While regulatory challenges and the capital-intensive nature of the utility business present ongoing risks, Avista's prudent financial management, strong liquidity position, and proactive approach to ESG issues provide a solid foundation for navigating these challenges.

For investors seeking a combination of steady income through dividends and moderate long-term growth potential, Avista Corporation offers an attractive proposition in the evolving energy landscape. With its strong financial performance, clear strategic direction, and commitment to sustainable practices, Avista is well-equipped to meet the energy needs of its customers while delivering value to shareholders in the years to come.