Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE:FLO): A Dividend Aristocrat Delivering Consistent Growth

Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE:FLO) is a leading producer and marketer of packaged bakery foods in the United States. The company's portfolio includes well-known brands such as Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, and Tastykake, among others. With a strong focus on innovation, brand-building, and operational efficiency, Flowers Foods has established itself as a reliable dividend-paying stock and a consistent performer in the highly competitive baked goods industry.

Financials

Flowers Foods reported annual revenue of $5.09 billion in its most recent fiscal year, up from $4.38 billion in 2020. The company's net income for the same period was $123.42 million, while its annual operating cash flow and free cash flow stood at $349.35 million and $220.28 million, respectively. These financial metrics demonstrate the company's ability to generate consistent cash flows and profitability, even in the face of challenging market conditions.

In the first quarter of 2024, Flowers Foods reported revenue of $1.58 billion, a 2.8% increase from the same period in the prior year. The company's branded retail sales grew by 3.5% year-over-year, driven by favorable pricing and mix, as well as the contribution from the acquisition of Papa Pita. While the company's other sales category, which includes store-branded retail and non-retail sales, increased by 1.4%, the growth was partially offset by volume declines in certain lower-margin foodservice business.

Operational Highlights and Outlook

Flowers Foods' solid first-quarter performance reflects the increasing effectiveness of its portfolio strategy, which is focused on investments in marketing, innovation, and strengthening its leading brands. The company's flagship brand, Nature's Own, maintained its position as the best-selling loaf bread in the U.S., while Dave's Killer Bread continued its strong momentum, reporting a second consecutive quarter of 10% unit growth.

The company's efforts to enhance profitability in its away-from-home and private label segments are also yielding positive results, with improved margins in these areas of the business. Flowers Foods' management team is confident in the company's ability to navigate the ongoing economic uncertainty and its potential impact on consumer behavior, citing the resilience of its brand portfolio and the benefits of its cost-saving initiatives.

For the full fiscal year 2024, Flowers Foods is maintaining its outlook, which includes expected volume improvements and the realization of additional cost savings of $40 million to $50 million. The company's management team remains focused on executing its portfolio strategy, driving innovation, and delivering consistent shareholder returns through its long-standing dividend program.

Dividend History and Shareholder Returns

Flowers Foods has a strong track record of rewarding its shareholders through consistent dividend payments. The company has paid dividends consecutively for 87 years and has increased its dividend for the last 22 consecutive years, making it a Dividend Aristocrat. On May 23, 2024, the company announced a 4.3% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.24 per share, equating to an annual dividend of $0.96 per share and a current yield of 4.36%.

In addition to its dividend program, Flowers Foods has also been actively repurchasing its shares. During the first quarter of 2024, the company repurchased 388,291 shares at a cost of $8.9 million. Since the inception of its share repurchase program, Flowers Foods has repurchased 72.4 million shares at a total cost of $742.2 million.

Geographical and Segment Diversification

Flowers Foods operates a nationwide distribution network, with a direct-store-delivery (DSD) system that provides access to more than 85% of the U.S. population. The company's products are sold through various channels, including retail, foodservice, and contract manufacturing. While the company does not provide detailed geographical breakdowns, its diverse distribution network and brand portfolio allow it to serve customers across the United States.

In terms of revenue segmentation, Flowers Foods reports two primary categories: Branded Retail and Other. The Branded Retail segment, which includes the company's flagship brands, accounted for 64.4% of total sales in the first quarter of 2024, up from 63.9% in the same period last year. The Other segment, which encompasses store-branded retail and non-retail sales, contributed the remaining 35.6% of total revenue.

Risks and Challenges

As with any consumer-facing business, Flowers Foods is exposed to various risks, including changes in consumer preferences, increased competition, supply chain disruptions, and macroeconomic factors such as inflation and labor shortages. The company's reliance on a network of independent distributor partners for its DSD system also presents operational and legal risks, as evidenced by the ongoing legal proceedings related to the classification of these distributors as independent contractors.

To mitigate these risks, Flowers Foods has been investing in its digital capabilities, automation, and operational efficiency initiatives. The company's recent acquisition of Papa Pita, a manufacturer and distributor of bagels, tortillas, and other bakery products, has also expanded its geographic reach and product portfolio, enhancing its ability to serve a broader customer base.

Conclusion

Flowers Foods' consistent financial performance, strong brand portfolio, and commitment to shareholder returns make it an attractive investment proposition for income-oriented investors. The company's focus on innovation, operational excellence, and cost optimization positions it well to navigate the challenges of the baked goods industry and continue delivering value to its shareholders. With a solid dividend history, a diversified product and distribution footprint, and a management team dedicated to executing its strategic priorities, Flowers Foods remains a compelling long-term investment opportunity in the consumer staples sector.