Horizon Bancorp (HBNC): A Steadfast Presence in the Midwest

Horizon Bancorp, Inc. (HBNC) is a bank holding company headquartered in Michigan City, Indiana, with a long-standing history of serving the Midwest region. Founded in 1873, the company has grown to become a prominent player in the banking industry, providing a comprehensive suite of financial services to individuals, businesses, and communities across Indiana and Michigan.

Business Overview and History Horizon Bancorp's roots can be traced back to 1873, when the company was established as a small, locally-focused bank serving the communities of northwest Indiana. Over the decades, Horizon has navigated various economic landscapes, expanding its footprint and diversifying its product offerings to meet the evolving needs of its customer base. In the early years, the company operated primarily in northwest Indiana, but through organic growth and strategic acquisitions, it has established a presence across Indiana and into neighboring states.

A significant milestone in Horizon's history came in 1991 when the company converted from a mutual to a stock-based organization. This transition allowed Horizon to raise additional capital, fueling further expansion and enabling the company to grow its asset base and diversify its product and service offerings. Despite facing challenges such as the dot-com bubble and housing market crisis in the early 2000s, Horizon's disciplined approach and focus on relationship banking helped it weather these turbulent times.

In recent years, Horizon has had to adapt to rapid changes in the banking industry driven by technology and evolving customer preferences. The company has invested heavily in digital capabilities to complement its network of traditional branch locations, ensuring it can provide a seamless omnichannel experience for its customers. Today, Horizon Bancorp operates through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Horizon Bank, which boasts a network of 78 full-service branches across Indiana and Michigan.

Horizon's core business model revolves around traditional community banking, with a strong focus on commercial and consumer lending, deposit gathering, and wealth management services. The company's loan portfolio is diversified across various sectors, including commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, residential mortgage, and consumer loans. As of September 30, 2024, Horizon's total assets stood at $7.93 billion, with a loan portfolio of $4.80 billion and total deposits of $5.73 billion.

Product Segments Horizon Bancorp's business is divided into three main product segments:

Commercial Segment The commercial segment is the largest, with a total loan portfolio of $2.91 billion as of September 30, 2024, representing 60.6% of the total loan portfolio. This segment includes four main product classes: - Non-owner occupied real estate: $1.42 billion - Commercial and industrial loans: $808.60 million - Owner occupied real estate: $634.47 million - Development spec land: $30.29 million

Real Estate Segment The real estate segment had a total loan portfolio of $881.79 million as of September 30, 2024, consisting of: - Residential mortgage loans: $783.96 million - Mortgage warehouse loans: $80.44 million - Residential construction loans: $17.40 million

Consumer Segment The consumer segment's loan portfolio totaled $1.01 billion as of September 30, 2024, comprising: - Home equity loans: $564.61 million - Indirect auto loans: $341.98 million - Installment loans: $101.55 million

Financial Performance and Ratios Horizon Bancorp's financial performance has been consistent, with the company demonstrating resilience in the face of market challenges. For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company reported net income of $46.3 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, compared to $53.2 million, or $1.21 per diluted share, for the same period in 2023. The company's net interest margin, a key metric in the banking industry, expanded to 2.60% for the nine-month period, up from 2.59% in the prior-year period.

Financials The company's balance sheet remains strong, with a loan-to-deposit ratio of 84.0% as of September 30, 2024, and a Tier 1 capital ratio of 11.96%, well above the regulatory minimum for well-capitalized institutions. Horizon's asset quality metrics are also noteworthy, with a nonperforming asset ratio of 0.32% and a net charge-off ratio of 0.04% for the third quarter of 2024.

Horizon's profitability ratios remain healthy, with a return on average assets (ROAA) of 0.79% and a return on average equity (ROAE) of 8.51% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. The company's efficiency ratio, which measures the ratio of noninterest expense to net interest income plus noninterest income, stood at 62.4% for the same period, indicating the company's ability to maintain a disciplined cost structure.

For the most recent fiscal year (2023), Horizon reported revenue of $182.76 million, net income of $27.98 million, operating cash flow of $88.94 million, and free cash flow of $81.16 million. In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), the company achieved revenue of $90.88 million and net income of $18.18 million, representing year-over-year growth of 13.4% and 12.2%, respectively.

Liquidity Horizon Bancorp maintains a strong liquidity position, which is crucial for managing day-to-day operations and meeting regulatory requirements. The company's loan-to-deposit ratio of 84.0% as of September 30, 2024, indicates a healthy balance between lending activities and deposit funding. This ratio suggests that Horizon has sufficient liquidity to meet its lending obligations while maintaining a stable funding base.

Additional liquidity metrics as of September 30, 2024, include: - Debt/Equity Ratio: 1.26 - Cash: $234.83 million - Available Credit Line: $1.52 billion, including unused credit lines with various banks and the Federal Home Loan Bank - Current Ratio: 0.56 - Quick Ratio: 0.56

Strategic Initiatives and Outlook In the fourth quarter of 2024, Horizon Bancorp announced several strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing its financial performance and creating long-term shareholder value. The company plans to sell approximately $325 million in available-for-sale securities, which is expected to generate a net after-tax loss of $39.1 million. Additionally, the company has announced its intent to sell its mortgage warehouse business, a move that is expected to further streamline its operations and improve its balance sheet efficiency.

These strategic actions, combined with ongoing efforts to optimize the company's deposit mix and loan portfolio, are expected to have a positive impact on Horizon's net interest margin and profitability metrics. The company's management team has provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2024, anticipating net interest margin expansion of 15 to 20 basis points compared to the third quarter, driven by both organic factors and the impact of the aforementioned balance sheet initiatives.

Based on recent guidance, Horizon expects the following for Q4 2024: - Net interest margin expansion of 15-20 basis points from the Q3 level of 2.66% - Net interest income to increase in the upper single-digit percentage range compared to Q3 - Expenses to be around $42 million, including some one-time items not expected to continue into 2025 - Effective tax rate for full year 2025 to be in the range of 10-12%

For 2025, the company anticipates: - Expenses to be consistent with current consensus expectations - Core commercial loan growth to continue, offset by the runoff of the indirect auto portfolio, resulting in total loan balances down low single digits - Deposit balances to be relatively stable as Horizon focuses on core retail and commercial customers

Looking ahead, Horizon Bancorp remains committed to its community banking model, focusing on relationship-driven lending, deposit gathering, and wealth management services. The company's diversified loan portfolio, strong credit quality, and disciplined expense management position it well to navigate the evolving banking landscape and deliver consistent financial performance for its shareholders.

Risks and Challenges As with any financial institution, Horizon Bancorp faces a range of risks and challenges that could impact its future performance. These include interest rate risk, credit risk, regulatory changes, and competitive pressures in its core markets. The company's ability to manage these risks effectively will be crucial to its continued success.

Additionally, the broader economic environment, including factors such as inflation, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, and any potential economic downturns, could influence Horizon's financial results. The company's management team closely monitors these macroeconomic conditions and adjusts its strategies accordingly to mitigate the impact on the business.

Conclusion Horizon Bancorp's long-standing history, strong financial position, and strategic initiatives position the company as a reliable and steadfast player in the Midwest banking industry. The company's focus on relationship-driven banking, disciplined expense management, and proactive risk management have enabled it to navigate challenging market conditions and deliver consistent financial performance for its shareholders. As Horizon Bancorp continues to execute its strategic plans, investors will closely follow the company's ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities and maintain its position as a trusted financial partner in the communities it serves.