The Macerich Company (MAC): A Retail REIT Poised for Transformation

Company Overview

Macerich, one of the largest owners, operators, and developers of premier shopping centers in the United States, has undergone a significant transformation in recent years. With a portfolio of 45 million square feet of gross leasable area across 46 regional retail centers, community power shopping centers, and one redevelopment property, Macerich has established itself as a dominant player in the industry.

Historical Background

The company's history dates back to 1964 when it was founded as a privately held real estate investment and management firm. In 1994, Macerich went public, marking a pivotal moment in its evolution. Following its initial public offering on March 16, 1994, the company commenced operations as a publicly traded entity. Over the next two decades, the company strategically expanded its footprint, acquiring and developing high-quality properties in densely populated, affluent markets across the United States.

In its early years, Macerich experienced significant growth through the acquisition of several major retail properties, including Chandler Fashion Center in Arizona and Freehold Raceway Mall in New Jersey. A notable milestone in the company's expansion was the 2005 acquisition of the Wilmorite portfolio, which added substantial assets in key markets and further solidified Macerich's position in the industry.

Challenges and Adaptation

Like many in the retail real estate sector, Macerich faced challenges during the global financial crisis of the late 2000s. The economic downturn put pressure on the company's tenants and operations, requiring strategic management of its portfolio and close collaboration with retail partners to navigate the difficult period successfully.

In recent years, Macerich has had to adapt to the growing influence of e-commerce and evolving consumer shopping behaviors. The company has responded by redeveloping and remerchandising many of its properties, incorporating new elements such as entertainment venues, dining options, and various services to complement traditional retail offerings. This strategic approach has helped Macerich maintain high occupancy rates and strong tenant sales across its portfolio.

Financials

Macerich's financial performance has been characterized by fluctuations in recent years. In 2021, the company reported an annual net income of $14.26 million, annual revenue of $847.44 million, annual operating cash flow of $286.37 million, and annual free cash flow of $337.51 million. However, the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the company's operations, leading to a net loss of $66.07 million in 2022 on annual revenue of $859.16 million, annual operating cash flow of $337.51 million, and annual free cash flow of $337.51 million.

For the fiscal year 2023, Macerich reported revenue of $884.07 million, a net loss of $274.065 million, operating cash flow of $295.5 million, and free cash flow of $295.5 million. The most recent quarter (Q2 2024) showed improvement, with revenue of $217.03 million, net income of $252.007 million, operating cash flow of $104.187 million, and free cash flow of $63.008 million. Revenue increased 2.8% year-over-year, primarily due to increases from the JV Transition Centers and Same Centers, offset by decreases from the Disposition Properties and Redevelopment Properties. The significant increase in net income was largely due to a $325 million gain on sale of assets, partially offset by increased impairment charges.

Liquidity

The company's liquidity position has been a point of focus, with a current ratio of 0.57 and a quick ratio of 0.57 as of June 30, 2024. Macerich's debt-to-equity ratio stood at 1.82, indicating a moderately leveraged balance sheet. As of June 30, 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $70.69 million and an available credit line of $464.92 million from its $650 million revolving credit facility.

Recent Developments

In the first half of 2024, Macerich has made significant strides in addressing its financial challenges. The company has been actively pursuing a "Path Forward" plan, which aims to simplify the business, improve operational performance, and reduce leverage.

As part of this initiative, Macerich has been actively disposing of non-core assets and consolidating its joint venture interests. In the second quarter of 2024, the company sold its 50% interest in Biltmore Fashion Park, a 611,000 square foot regional retail center in Phoenix, Arizona, for $110 million. This transaction, along with the short sale of Country Club Plaza in Kansas City, Missouri, and ongoing negotiations regarding the Santa Monica Place property, have collectively reduced the company's debt by approximately $564 million.

Furthermore, Macerich has made significant progress in improving its operational performance. The company's portfolio-wide occupancy rate stood at 93.3% as of the end of the second quarter of 2024, up from 92.6% a year earlier. Releasing spreads have remained positive, with the company executing leases at an average rent of $63.35 per square foot, compared to $57.54 per square foot on expiring leases.

The company's leasing momentum has continued, with 233 leases signed in the second quarter of 2024 for 750,000 square feet of space. Macerich's pipeline of signed but not yet opened leases totals 1.7 million square feet, which is expected to generate $71.4 million in incremental rent over the next two years.

Business Operations

Macerich primarily operates in the United States, focusing on major markets such as California, the Pacific Northwest, Phoenix/Scottsdale, and the Metro New York to Washington, D.C. corridor. The company's business model revolves around the acquisition, ownership, development, redevelopment, management, and leasing of regional retail centers and community shopping centers.

Leasing revenue, which includes minimum rents, percentage rents, and tenant recoveries, is the primary source of income for the company. In the first half of 2024, leasing revenue amounted to $389.61 million, with $197.96 million generated in the second quarter alone.

Recent acquisitions include the remaining ownership interests in several properties, such as Arrowhead Towne Center, South Plains Mall, and five former Sears parcels. Conversely, the company and its joint venture partners have sold several properties, including The Marketplace at Flagstaff, Superstition Springs Power Center, One Westside, Country Club Plaza, and a former department store parcel at Valle Vista Mall.

Challenges and Outlook

Macerich's transformation has not been without its challenges. The company has faced headwinds in the retail real estate industry, including the impact of e-commerce and the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the new leadership team, led by CEO Jack Hsieh, has been proactive in addressing these concerns and executing the Path Forward plan.

In terms of future performance, Macerich reported Funds From Operations (FFO) per share of $0.39 in the second quarter of 2024, consistent with their expectations but $0.01 lower than the second quarter of 2023. Same Center Net Operating Income (NOI) increased by 1.3% during the quarter, excluding lease termination income.

While Macerich has not provided specific financial guidance for the full year 2024 or beyond, they have outlined progress on their Path Forward plan. The company expects to have line of sight on $1 billion to $1.4 billion of total debt reduction by the end of 2024, which is over 50% of their overall $2 billion debt reduction objective. Depending on transaction success for the balance of the year, they believe they may be able to reduce leverage to the low 8x range by the end of 2024.

Despite the headwinds, Macerich remains a significant player in the retail REIT space. The company's portfolio is concentrated in high-growth markets, which have demonstrated resilience and continued tenant demand. The company's leasing pipeline includes 115 leases for 1.7 million square feet of new stores expected to open during the remainder of 2024 into 2025 and early 2026, which are expected to generate $71.4 million of incremental rent.

As Macerich continues to navigate the evolving retail landscape, investors will be closely watching the company's ability to successfully execute its strategic initiatives, reduce leverage, and capitalize on the strength of its core assets. With a focus on operational excellence, disciplined capital allocation, and a commitment to sustainability, Macerich is positioned to emerge as a leaner, more efficient, and more competitive retail REIT in the years to come.