Toll Brothers (TOL): A Storied Legacy of Luxury Home Building

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is the nation's leading builder of luxury homes, with a rich history spanning over five decades. Founded in 1967 by brothers Robert and Bruce Toll, the company has grown from a small Philadelphia-based operation to a renowned national homebuilder known for its exceptional craftsmanship, innovative designs, and commitment to customer satisfaction.

Business Overview
Founding and Early Years
Toll Brothers' journey began in 1967 when Robert and Bruce Toll founded the company as a small homebuilder focused on the Philadelphia area. Throughout the 1970s and 1980s, Toll Brothers expanded its presence in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions, building high-end single-family homes and townhomes. The company successfully navigated the economic challenges of these decades, maintaining its commitment to quality and customer service.

Going Public and Expansion
A significant milestone in Toll Brothers' history came in 1986 when the company went public, raising capital to fund further expansion. This move set the stage for rapid growth in the following decades. Throughout the 1990s and early 2000s, Toll Brothers embarked on a strategic expansion plan, broadening its geographic reach to include markets in the West, South, and Mountain regions. This growth was further accelerated by the acquisition of smaller regional homebuilders, allowing Toll Brothers to quickly establish a presence in new markets.

Resilience and Adaptation
Despite facing significant challenges during the housing market downturn in the late 2000s, Toll Brothers emerged as a stronger and more diversified company. This resilience can be attributed to the company's prudent management practices, strategic expansion efforts, and unwavering commitment to innovation in home design and construction.

Throughout its history, Toll Brothers has successfully overcome various challenges, including economic recessions, labor and supply chain issues, and environmental concerns. The company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions while maintaining its focus on building high-quality, luxury homes has been instrumental in its long-term success and industry leadership position.

Financial Performance
Toll Brothers' financial performance has been consistently strong, with the company weathering industry downturns and economic challenges. In the most recent fiscal year ended October 31, 2023, the company reported total revenues of $9.99 billion, a 2.9% increase from the prior year. Net income for the same period was $1.37 billion, up from $1.29 billion in the previous fiscal year.

The company's balance sheet remains robust, with a net debt-to-capital ratio of 0.21 as of October 31, 2023. This financial flexibility has enabled Toll Brothers to invest in strategic initiatives, including land acquisitions, product development, and technological advancements, while also returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividend payments.

In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), Toll Brothers reported revenue of $2.727 billion, up 1.00% year-over-year. Net income for the quarter was $374.611 million. The increase in revenue was primarily due to an 11.5% increase in homes delivered, offset by a 9% decrease in average delivered home price. The increase in deliveries was driven by higher community count and improved construction cycle times, allowing for more spec home deliveries.

Operating cash flow for Q3 2024 was $175.612 million, while free cash flow was $149.86 million. The company's liquidity position remains strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44x, cash and cash equivalents of $1.30 billion, and $1.77 billion available under its $1.96 billion revolving credit facility, with no outstanding borrowings. The current ratio stands at 1.90x, and the quick ratio is 0.68x.

Financials and Liquidity
Toll Brothers maintains a strong financial position, with a focus on maintaining adequate liquidity to support its operations and growth initiatives. The company's solid balance sheet and consistent cash flow generation provide a stable foundation for future investments and shareholder returns. Toll Brothers' prudent financial management has allowed it to navigate market fluctuations and capitalize on opportunities for expansion and innovation.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2024, Toll Brothers delivered 2,814 homes at an average price of $968,000, generating record third quarter home sale revenues of $2.72 billion. The company's adjusted gross margin of 28.8% exceeded their guidance by 110 basis points, primarily due to greater efficiencies in their homebuilding operations and favorable mix. SG&A expense was 9.0% of home sale revenues, 20 basis points better than their guidance.

For the full fiscal year 2024, Toll Brothers has increased its deliveries guidance to between 10,650 and 10,750 homes, an increase of 100 homes at the midpoint of their previous guidance. The company has also raised its full year average delivered price guidance by $10,000 to $975,000, translating to a homebuilding revenue projection of between $10.4 billion and $10.5 billion. The full year adjusted gross margin guidance has been increased from 28.0% to 28.3%, with an expected fourth quarter adjusted gross margin of 27.5%, a 10 basis point increase compared to their previous implied guidance.

Toll Brothers now expects its full year SG&A expense to be 9.4%, a 20 basis point improvement over their previous guidance. The company anticipates earning between $14.50 and $14.75 per diluted share in fiscal 2024 and achieving a full year return on beginning equity of approximately 22.5%.

Operational Efficiency and Innovation
Toll Brothers' success can be attributed, in part, to its focus on operational efficiency and continuous innovation. The company has implemented lean manufacturing techniques, streamlined its construction processes, and leveraged technology to enhance productivity and responsiveness. This has allowed Toll Brothers to maintain its profit margins even in the face of industry-wide challenges, such as labor shortages and supply chain disruptions.

In addition, Toll Brothers has been at the forefront of innovative home design and customer experience. The company's design studios offer homebuyers the opportunity to personalize their homes, ensuring a unique and tailored living experience. Furthermore, Toll Brothers has embraced sustainable building practices, incorporating energy-efficient features and environmentally-conscious design elements into its communities.

Diversification and Geographic Expansion
Toll Brothers' diversification strategy has been a key driver of its growth and resilience. The company's presence in 60 markets across the United States has allowed it to capitalize on regional variations in housing demand and diversify its revenue streams. This geographic expansion has also enabled Toll Brothers to maintain a stable market share and navigate changing market conditions more effectively.

The company operates in five geographic segments: North, Mid-Atlantic, South, Mountain, and Pacific. In the three months ended July 31, 2024, the South region accounted for the largest share of home sales revenues at 28.4%, followed by the Mountain region at 24.6%, the Pacific region at 20.8%, the North region at 13.8%, and the Mid-Atlantic region at 12.3%.

The South region, which includes operations in Florida, South Carolina, and Texas, saw a 28% increase in homes delivered and a 27% increase in income before income taxes in the three-month period ended July 31, 2024. The Mid-Atlantic region, covering Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia, experienced a significant 47% increase in homes delivered and a 3% increase in income before income taxes during the same period.

The Mountain region, encompassing Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, and Utah, faced some challenges with a 1% decrease in homes delivered and a 22% decrease in income before income taxes. The Pacific region, which includes California, Oregon, and Washington, saw a 6% decrease in homes delivered and a 20% decrease in income before income taxes.

Overall, Toll Brothers' total home sales revenues increased 2% in the three-month period ended July 31, 2024, compared to the same period in the prior year. Net contracts signed increased 11%, primarily due to an increase in the number of selling communities. The value of the company's backlog at July 31, 2024, decreased 10% compared to July 31, 2023, due to a 7% decrease in the number of homes in backlog and a 3% decrease in the average contracted price per home.

Moreover, Toll Brothers has strategically entered adjacent market segments, such as active-adult communities and urban high-rise developments, further broadening its customer base and revenue sources. These diversification efforts have contributed to the company's ability to weather industry downturns and capitalize on emerging trends in the housing market.

Conclusion
Toll Brothers' impressive history, financial strength, operational excellence, and diversification strategy have positioned the company as a leader in the luxury homebuilding industry. As the company continues to evolve and adapt to market changes, it remains well-equipped to capitalize on the growing demand for high-end housing and deliver exceptional value to its shareholders. The company's strong performance across its geographic segments, combined with its focus on operational efficiency and innovation, positions Toll Brothers for continued success in the dynamic homebuilding market.