TrueBlue, Inc. (NYSE:TBI): A Cyclical Staffing Play Poised for a Comeback

TrueBlue, Inc. (NYSE:TBI) is a leading provider of specialized workforce solutions that help clients improve productivity and grow their businesses. The company operates through three main segments: PeopleReady, PeopleScout, and PeopleManagement.

Financials

In the fiscal first quarter of 2024, TrueBlue reported revenue of $402.9 million, down 13.4% from the prior year period. The decline was primarily driven by continued economic uncertainty impacting demand trends across all three segments. PeopleReady revenue declined 11.9% to $222.7 million, PeopleScout revenue declined 33.3% to $46.3 million, and PeopleManagement revenue declined 6.5% to $133.9 million.

Gross profit as a percentage of revenue decreased 180 basis points to 24.7% in Q1 2024, primarily due to changes in revenue mix towards lower margin staffing businesses. Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expense decreased 12.8% to $106.9 million as the company continued to execute cost reduction measures to scale down its operating cost structure.

The company reported a net loss of $1.7 million in Q1 2024, an improvement from the $4.3 million net loss in the prior year period. This was driven by an income tax benefit of $12.2 million due to the favorable impact of job tax credits. Adjusted net income was $1 million versus an adjusted net loss of $2 million last year, while adjusted EBITDA declined to negative $3 million versus positive $3 million last year.

Balance Sheet and Liquidity

TrueBlue finished the quarter with no debt, $36.2 million in cash, and $140.3 million of available borrowing capacity under its revolving credit facility, providing ample liquidity. The company repurchased $10 million of common stock during the quarter, leaving $45.1 million remaining under its authorization.

Outlook

For the fiscal second quarter of 2024, TrueBlue expects revenue to decline between 16% and 10% compared to the prior year period. This includes a 1 percentage point drag on total company revenue growth due to the sale of its on-demand labor business in Canada. The company also expects gross profit as a percentage of revenue to decline between 140 and 100 basis points, and SG&A expense to be between $97 million and $101 million, aided by $10 million in COVID-19 government subsidy benefits.

Business Overview

The company's strategic priorities include advancing its digital transformation, expanding into high-growth and underpenetrated end markets, and simplifying its organizational structure to drive enhanced focus and profitability. Key initiatives include the rollout of its proprietary JobStack app, growing its presence in sectors like renewable energy and healthcare, and consolidating leadership within its on-site and skilled trades businesses.

While current market conditions remain challenging, TrueBlue believes the long-term staffing outlook is positive. Structural staffing shortages and evolving workforce needs create compelling opportunities, and the company is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its competitive strengths, technology investments, and clear strategic roadmap.

Historical Performance

TrueBlue's annual revenue in fiscal 2023 was $1.91 billion, with a net loss of $14.2 million. The company generated $34.8 million in annual operating cash flow and $3.5 million in free cash flow. On a quarterly basis, revenue declined 13.4% year-over-year to $402.9 million in Q1 2024, while the company reported a net loss of $1.7 million.

Geographic Presence

Geographically, TrueBlue operates primarily in the United States, with additional operations in Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia through its PeopleScout segment. The company's revenue is diversified across various end markets, including construction, transportation, manufacturing, retail, hospitality, and renewable energy.

Liquidity

TrueBlue's balance sheet remains strong, with no debt and ample available borrowing capacity under its revolving credit facility. This provides the company with the financial flexibility to navigate the current economic environment and invest in strategic initiatives to drive long-term growth.

Conclusion

Overall, TrueBlue is a well-established player in the cyclical staffing industry, with a diversified business model and a clear strategic roadmap to navigate the current challenges and position itself for future success. While near-term demand headwinds persist, the company's focus on digital transformation, market expansion, and organizational simplification could unlock significant value for shareholders over the long run.