Warby Parker Inc. (NYSE:WRBY): Delivering Consistent Growth and Margin Expansion Amidst Macro Uncertainty

Warby Parker Inc. (NYSE:WRBY) is a mission-driven, lifestyle brand that operates at the intersection of design, technology, healthcare, and social enterprise. The company has established itself as a leading player in the eyewear industry, offering a unique combination of high-quality products, innovative technology, and a commitment to social responsibility.

In the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, Warby Parker reported annual revenue of $669.8 million, a net loss of $63.2 million, annual operating cash flow of $61.0 million, and annual free cash flow of $7.3 million. The company's strong performance has continued into 2024, with the first quarter results showcasing the company's ability to navigate the dynamic macroeconomic environment.

For the first quarter of 2024, Warby Parker reported net revenue of $200.0 million, up 16.3% year-over-year. The company's gross profit margin expanded to 56.7% in Q1 2024, compared to 55.1% in the prior-year period. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $22.4 million, representing an 11.2% margin.

Business Overview

Warby Parker was founded in 2010 with the mission of providing high-quality, affordable eyewear to consumers. The company's vertically integrated business model allows it to design, manufacture, and distribute its products directly to customers, cutting out the traditional middleman and passing the savings on to consumers.

The company's product offerings include prescription and non-prescription glasses, sunglasses, and contact lenses. Warby Parker has also expanded its services to include in-person eye exams and a virtual vision test app, providing customers with a comprehensive vision care solution.

Warby Parker's growth strategy is centered around three key pillars: expanding its retail footprint, enhancing its e-commerce capabilities, and scaling its holistic vision care offerings. The company has been successful in executing on these initiatives, as evidenced by its strong financial performance.

Retail Expansion and Performance

As of March 31, 2024, Warby Parker operated 245 retail stores across the United States, up from 204 stores a year earlier. The company's retail revenue grew 24.4% year-over-year in the first quarter, outpacing the 20% increase in store count.

Warby Parker's new stores have been performing well, delivering strong unit economics with a target of 35% four-wall margins and 20-month payback periods. The company's existing stores have also maintained their productivity, with average revenue per store of $2.2 million and 35% four-wall adjusted EBITDA margins.

E-commerce Performance and Evolution

Warby Parker's e-commerce channel has also shown signs of improvement, with revenue growing 1.8% year-over-year in the first quarter. The company has seen a positive inflection in direct glasses purchases, which has been offset by a diminishing headwind from its Home Try-On program as the retail footprint has expanded.

The company believes its e-commerce business is on a path toward long-term sustainable growth, driven by increased customer comfort with online purchasing, the scaling of its contact lens offerings, and the continued evolution of its digital experience.

Scaling Holistic Vision Care

Warby Parker has been focused on expanding its holistic vision care offerings, including eye exams and contact lens sales. In the first quarter, the company's eye exam revenue grew over 40% year-over-year, and contact lens sales increased approximately 40% compared to the prior-year period.

The company's strategy of increasing the number of stores offering eye exams has been a key driver of growth, as these locations tend to generate higher average revenue per customer. Warby Parker has also made progress in expanding its insurance partnerships, including a recent agreement with Versant Health, a subsidiary of MetLife, which will bring an additional 15 million lives in-network with the company.

Financials

Warby Parker's strong first-quarter results have prompted the company to raise its full-year 2024 guidance. The company now expects revenue to be in the range of $753 million to $761 million, representing approximately 12.5% to 13.5% year-over-year growth. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $70 million at the midpoint of the revenue range, corresponding to an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9.2%.

The company's guidance reflects its confidence in the continued momentum of its business, particularly in its glasses and retail segments. Warby Parker expects to maintain gross margins in the mid-50s, driven by the scaling of its higher-margin glasses business and efficiencies in its optical laboratories.

Risks and Challenges

While Warby Parker has demonstrated its ability to navigate the dynamic macroeconomic environment, the company is not immune to the broader challenges facing the retail and optical industries. Factors such as inflation, changing consumer spending patterns, and supply chain disruptions could potentially impact the company's financial performance.

Additionally, Warby Parker faces competition from both traditional optical retailers and emerging e-commerce players in the eyewear space. The company's ability to maintain its competitive edge and continue to innovate will be crucial to its long-term success.

Conclusion

Warby Parker's strong first-quarter results and raised full-year guidance demonstrate the company's ability to deliver consistent growth and margin expansion amidst a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. The company's focus on expanding its retail footprint, enhancing its e-commerce capabilities, and scaling its holistic vision care offerings have positioned it well for continued success.

While the company faces certain risks and challenges, Warby Parker's innovative business model, commitment to social responsibility, and strong execution have earned it a prominent position in the eyewear industry. As the company continues to execute on its strategic priorities, investors will be closely watching its ability to navigate the evolving market conditions and capitalize on the significant opportunities ahead.