ASMB - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Assembly Biosciences, Inc. is a biotechnology company at the forefront of developing innovative therapeutics to tackle some of the most pressing viral diseases. With a robust pipeline targeting recurrent genital herpes, hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis delta virus (HDV), and transplant-related herpesviruses, Assembly Biosciences is poised to make a significant impact in the lives of patients worldwide.

Business Overview Incorporated in Delaware in October 2005, Assembly Biosciences has steadily emerged as a leader in the biotechnology industry, driven by its unwavering commitment to scientific excellence and the relentless pursuit of breakthrough therapies. The company's strategic focus on developing novel treatments for serious viral diseases has positioned it as a prominent player in the field.

In its early years, Assembly Biosciences concentrated on researching and discovering product candidates for the treatment of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis delta virus (HDV). A significant milestone was reached in 2013 when the company licensed aspects of its HBV program from Indiana University Research and Technology Corporation. This licensing agreement played a crucial role in advancing the company's HBV research efforts.

Over the subsequent years, Assembly Biosciences made substantial progress in advancing multiple HBV and HDV drug candidates through preclinical and early clinical development. However, the company's journey has not been without challenges. In 2024, Assembly Biosciences made the strategic decision to discontinue further development of one of its HBV candidates, ABI-H3733, and terminated the license agreement with Indiana University.

Assembly Biosciences' pipeline is anchored by two clinical-stage helicase-primase inhibitors (HPIs) for the treatment of recurrent genital herpes, an orally bioavailable HDV entry inhibitor, a clinical-stage capsid assembly modulator (CAM) designed to disrupt the replication cycle of HBV, and research programs targeting a non-nucleoside polymerase inhibitor (NNPI) for transplant-related herpesviruses and a small molecule interferon-α (IFN-α) receptor agonist for HBV and HDV.

The company's lead HPI candidate, ABI-5366, has demonstrated promising results in its ongoing Phase 1a/b clinical study, with positive interim pharmacokinetic (PK) and safety data supporting the potential for once-weekly or once-monthly oral dosing. In the third quarter of 2024, Assembly Biosciences announced positive interim data from the Phase 1a portion of the study evaluating ABI-5366 for recurrent genital herpes. The data showed that ABI-5366 had a mean half-life of approximately 20 days when dosed orally, supporting the potential for once-weekly or once-monthly dosing. ABI-5366 was also well-tolerated with a favorable safety profile.

The ABI-4334 CAM program has also advanced, with a Phase 1b study currently underway in participants with chronic HBV infection. Assembly Biosciences initiated this study in Q2 2024 and expects to announce interim results by the end of 2024.

Assembly Biosciences' strategic partnership with Gilead Sciences, Inc., forged in October 2023, has further bolstered its capabilities. The collaboration includes the exclusive licensing of Gilead's HPI and NNPI programs to Assembly, while Gilead retains opt-in rights to these programs and an option to exclusively license Assembly's other current and future pipeline programs.

Financials and Liquidity As of the most recent quarterly report, Assembly Biosciences reported a net loss of $29.84 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to a net loss of $50.27 million for the same period in the previous year. The company's total revenue for the nine-month period stood at $21.16 million, primarily driven by the recognition of collaboration revenue from the Gilead partnership.

For the three months ended September 30, 2024, Assembly Biosciences reported $6.845 million in collaboration revenue from its partnership with Gilead, representing a 17.8% increase compared to the same quarter last year. The net loss for Q3 2024 was $9.613 million, an improvement from the $14.42 million net loss in Q3 2023, primarily due to revenue recognized from the Gilead collaboration agreement.

Assembly Biosciences ended the third quarter of 2024 with a strong cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities position of $94.34 million, providing the company with ample resources to continue advancing its pipeline. Specifically, cash and cash equivalents were $28.45 million, with an additional $66.5 million in marketable securities. The company's operating cash flow for the nine-month period was $-50.71 million, while its free cash flow reached $-50.71 million.

For the full fiscal year 2023, Assembly Biosciences reported revenue of $7.16 million, a net loss of $61.23 million, operating cash flow of $22.74 million, and free cash flow of $22.49 million.

The company's liquidity position remains strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.057 as of September 30, 2024. The current ratio and quick ratio both stood at 2.36, indicating a healthy short-term financial position.

Research and development expenses for Q3 2024 were $13.52 million, up from $10.82 million in the prior year quarter, driven by the advancement and expansion of Assembly Biosciences' pipeline.

It's worth noting that Assembly Biosciences does not break out performance by geographic markets, as it is a small cap company that currently only sells in the United States.

Recent Developments and Outlook In the third quarter of 2024, Assembly Biosciences reported positive interim results from the Phase 1a portion of the ongoing study evaluating its long-acting HPI candidate, ABI-5366, for recurrent genital herpes. The data showed that ABI-5366 was well-tolerated with a favorable safety profile, and the PK profile supported the potential for once-weekly or once-monthly oral dosing. The company has since initiated the Phase 1b portion of the study, with interim data expected in the first half of 2025.

Additionally, Assembly Biosciences announced the dosing of the first participant in a Phase 1b study of ABI-4334, its next-generation highly potent CAM candidate for chronic HBV infection. Interim results from this study are anticipated by the end of 2024.

The company's pipeline continues to advance, with plans to initiate a Phase 1a study of ABI-6250, its orally bioavailable HDV entry inhibitor, and the Phase 1a portion of a Phase 1a/b study of ABI-1179, a long-acting HPI contributed by Gilead, by the end of 2024. ABI-1179 is a structurally-differentiated HPI that Assembly Biosciences acquired rights to from Gilead in October 2023.

Risks and Challenges As with any biotechnology company, Assembly Biosciences faces a range of risks and challenges inherent to the industry. These include the unpredictable nature of drug development, the potential for delays or failures in clinical trials, regulatory hurdles, and competition from other therapies. The company's reliance on strategic partnerships and collaborations, such as the one with Gilead, also introduces additional risks related to the alignment of interests and the successful execution of these agreements.

Moreover, the company's financial performance and liquidity position are critical factors that investors must monitor closely. While Assembly Biosciences currently maintains a strong cash position, its ability to sustain operations and continue advancing its pipeline will depend on its ability to secure additional financing, potentially through equity offerings, debt financing, or further collaborations.

Conclusion Assembly Biosciences is a biotechnology company at the forefront of developing innovative therapies for some of the most challenging viral diseases. With a diversified pipeline, strategic partnerships, and a focus on scientific excellence, the company is well-positioned to make a significant impact in the lives of patients. Its ongoing clinical trials for recurrent genital herpes, HBV, and HDV treatments show promise, with several key milestones expected in the near future.

The company's financial position, bolstered by its collaboration with Gilead Sciences, provides a solid foundation for continued research and development efforts. However, the inherent risks and challenges faced by biotechnology companies, as well as the company's financial performance and liquidity, will be key factors to monitor as Assembly Biosciences continues its journey.

As the company navigates the complexities of the industry, investors will closely follow its progress and ability to deliver on its promising pipeline of therapeutics. The coming months and years will be crucial for Assembly Biosciences as it works to translate its scientific innovations into successful treatments for patients suffering from serious viral diseases.

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