BGS - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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B&G Foods Inc (BGS) is a leading manufacturer, seller, and distributor of a diverse portfolio of branded, high-quality, shelf-stable and frozen foods across the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. With a rich history spanning over seven decades, the company has established itself as a prominent player in the packaged food industry, known for its well-recognized brands and strategic acquisitions.

Company History and Growth Strategy

Founded in 1996, B&G Foods has a history of growth through strategic acquisitions and brand portfolio expansion. The company has successfully acquired and integrated more than 50 brands or businesses into its operations, allowing it to steadily expand its brand portfolio and product offerings. This acquisition-driven growth strategy has been a cornerstone of B&G Foods' success, enabling it to become a leading player in the packaged food industry.

Challenges and Adaptability

Throughout its history, B&G Foods has faced various challenges, including fluctuations in commodity prices, rising production and distribution costs, and increasing competition in its core product categories. The company has demonstrated resilience and adaptability in navigating these issues by implementing cost-saving measures, strategic pricing adjustments, and continued brand and product innovation. For instance, during the early 2020s, B&G Foods weathered significant increases in raw material and freight costs by locking in prices through supply contracts and passing along some costs to customers.

Product Portfolio

Today, B&G Foods' product portfolio spans across various categories, including frozen and canned vegetables, vegetable and canola oils, hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, spices, seasonings, and a variety of other specialty food items. The company's diverse brand portfolio, which includes well-known names such as Green Giant, Crisco, Ortega, and Spice Islands, has enabled it to maintain a strong presence in the packaged food market and cater to evolving consumer trends.

Business Segments

B&G Foods operates in four reportable business segments: Specialty, Meals, Frozen Vegetables, and Spices & Flavor Solutions.

The Specialty segment includes brands such as Crisco, Clabber Girl, Bear Creek, Polaner, and Underwood. In the third quarter and first three quarters of 2024, this segment experienced a decrease in net sales primarily due to lower Crisco pricing, driven by decreased commodity costs, coupled with modest declines in volumes across the business unit.

The Meals segment comprises brands like Ortega, Maple Grove Farms, and Cream of Wheat. This segment saw a decrease in net sales for the third quarter and first three quarters of 2024, mainly due to a decrease in volumes across the Meals portfolio, partially offset by an increase in net pricing and product mix.

The Frozen Vegetables segment includes the Green Giant and Le Sueur brands. The segment's net sales decreased in the third quarter and first three quarters of 2024, primarily due to the Green Giant U.S. shelf-stable divestiture and a decrease in volumes.

The Spices & Flavor Solutions segment features brands such as Dash, Weber, Spice Islands, and Tones. This segment saw an increase in net sales for the third quarter and first three quarters of 2024, primarily due to increased volumes across the portfolio.

Financials

In terms of financial performance, B&G Foods has demonstrated a mixed track record in recent years. The company's net sales for the fiscal year 2023 stood at $2.06 billion, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous year's $2.16 billion. However, the company's adjusted EBITDA for the same period was $172.58 million, showcasing its ability to generate solid profitability.

For the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), B&G Foods reported revenue of $461.07 million, a decrease of 8.3% compared to the same quarter in the previous year. This decline was primarily due to the divestiture of the Green Giant U.S. shelf-stable product line and lower unit volumes, partially offset by positive pricing and product mix. Net income for Q3 2024 was $7.46 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $82.74 million in Q3 2023, primarily due to lower impairment charges related to the Green Giant U.S. shelf-stable divestiture.

Operating cash flow (OCF) for Q3 2024 decreased to $4.16 million from $23.30 million in Q3 2023, due to lower net sales and unfavorable working capital changes. Free cash flow (FCF) also declined, from $18.63 million in Q3 2023 to -$679,000 in Q3 2024, as a result of the decrease in OCF.

Liquidity

The company's liquidity position remains stable, with a current ratio of 1.64 and a quick ratio of 0.49 as of September 28, 2024. B&G Foods' long-term debt stood at $2.02 billion as of the end of fiscal year 2023, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.78, indicating a moderately leveraged capital structure. As of September 28, 2024, the company had $54.69 million in cash and an available credit line of $430.30 million after $4.70 million in outstanding letters of credit.

Geographic Diversification

In terms of geographic diversification, B&G Foods derives the majority of its revenue from the United States, with approximately 91% of its net sales coming from the domestic market in fiscal year 2023. The remaining 9% of net sales are generated from international markets, primarily Canada. The company's foreign sales, primarily to customers in Canada, represented approximately 9.1% and 8.7% of total net sales in the first three quarters of 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Key Challenges and Strategies

One of the key challenges facing B&G Foods is navigating the evolving consumer preferences and channel shifts in the packaged food industry. The rapid growth of e-commerce, coupled with changing dietary habits and a shift towards healthier options, has prompted the company to adapt its strategies to remain competitive. B&G Foods has responded by investing in new product development, enhancing its digital presence, and exploring opportunities in emerging sales channels.

Additionally, the company has been proactive in reshaping its portfolio through strategic divestitures. In 2023, B&G Foods completed the sale of its Green Giant U.S. shelf-stable product line, as part of its ongoing efforts to focus on its core business and improve profitability. The company has also indicated that it is reviewing its remaining portfolio for potential divestitures, including the possible sale of some or all of the assets in its Frozen Vegetables business unit.

Future Outlook and Guidance

Looking ahead, B&G Foods remains committed to its growth strategy, with a focus on disciplined acquisitions, product innovation, and cost optimization. The company's management has expressed cautious optimism about the gradual recovery and stabilization of industry trends, expecting sequential improvement in its performance between the first and second halves of fiscal year 2025.

B&G Foods has revised its fiscal 2024 guidance, projecting net sales of $1.92 billion to $1.95 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $295 million to $305 million, and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.67 to $0.77. The company expects interest expense of $152.5 million to $157.5 million, depreciation expense of $47.5 million to $52.5 million, amortization expense of $20 million to $22 million, an effective tax rate of 26% to 27%, and capital expenditures of $30 million to $35 million for the full year 2024.

Overall, B&G Foods' diversified brand portfolio, strategic acquisitions, and ongoing portfolio optimization efforts position the company to navigate the evolving packaged food landscape. While facing some near-term challenges, the company's long-standing history, financial resilience, and adaptability suggest its potential to capitalize on future opportunities and deliver value to its shareholders.

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