CELH - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Pioneers of the Functional Energy Drink Revolution

Celsius Holdings, Inc. was incorporated under the laws of the State of Nevada on April 26, 2005, with a mission to create a differentiated energy drink that could power active lifestyles. The company's flagship product, the CELSIUS® brand, has been at the forefront of the functional energy drink revolution, offering clinically proven and innovative formulas designed to positively impact the lives of health-conscious consumers. Celsius engages in the development, processing, marketing, sale, and distribution of functional energy drinks to a broad range of consumers, positioning its products as premium lifestyle and energy drinks formulated to power active lifestyles.

Disrupting the Energy Drink Landscape

Celsius' innovative approach has enabled it to disrupt the energy drink category, which has traditionally been dominated by established players. By focusing on a premium lifestyle and energy positioning, the company has attracted a loyal following among fitness enthusiasts and health-conscious consumers. This differentiation has allowed Celsius to carve out a unique niche and gain a significant foothold in the market.

Strategic Partnerships and Geographical Expansion

In 2022, Celsius made a strategic move by entering into multiple agreements with PepsiCo Inc. (PEP), including a long-term distribution agreement that made Pepsi the primary distribution supplier for Celsius products in the U.S. This partnership has provided Celsius with enhanced distribution capabilities and access to Pepsi's extensive reach, further accelerating the company's growth. As part of these agreements, Celsius issued and sold approximately 1.5 million shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock to Pepsi for $550 million, strengthening their strategic relationship.

Additionally, in January 2019, Celsius entered into a license and repayment of investment agreement with Qifeng Food Technology Beijing Co. Ltd., granting Qifeng the exclusive license rights to manufacture, market and commercialize Celsius branded products in China. This agreement included annual royalty fees and an investment repayment component, further expanding the company's international presence.

Celsius has also been actively expanding its international presence, leveraging its proven success in the U.S. market. In 2024, the company announced partnerships to distribute its products in Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, and France, demonstrating its ability to replicate its domestic success in new global markets.

Financials

Impressive Financial Performance

Celsius' financial performance has been nothing short of remarkable. In the latest fiscal year (2023), the company reported revenue of $1.32 billion, a significant increase from the previous year's $653.6 million. This robust revenue growth is a testament to the strong consumer demand for Celsius' products and the company's effective execution of its growth strategies.

Net income for the latest fiscal year stood at $226.8 million, showcasing the company's ability to translate its top-line growth into profitability. The company's operating cash flow (OCF) for the fiscal year 2023 was $141.22 million, with free cash flow (FCF) of $123.78 million, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.

In the most recent quarter (Q2 2024), Celsius reported revenue of $401.98 million, representing a 23% year-over-year increase. Net income for the quarter reached $79.78 million, a substantial 55% increase compared to Q2 2023. The company's OCF for the quarter was $39.64 million, with FCF of $30.43 million.

Geographical Performance

The majority of Celsius' revenue is generated in North America, including the United States and Canada. For the six months ended June 30, 2024, North America revenue was $722 million, an increase of 29% from the same period in 2023. International revenue, which includes Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other markets, grew 36% to $36 million in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. Europe stands out as the largest international market, contributing $30.83 million in revenue in the first half of 2024, up 50% from the prior year period.

Liquidity and Financial Health

Celsius has maintained a healthy balance sheet, with a cash position of $903.21 million as of June 30, 2024, providing ample financial flexibility to fund future growth initiatives. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at a very low 0.0014 as of December 31, 2023, indicating minimal leverage. Celsius also boasts strong liquidity metrics, with a current ratio of 4.38 and a quick ratio of 3.80 as of June 30, 2024, demonstrating its ability to meet short-term obligations comfortably.

Recent Performance and Outlook

In the second quarter of 2024, Celsius reported record financial results. Gross profit margins improved to 52% in Q2 2024, up from 49% in the prior year period, driven by reduced raw material and freight costs. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA increased 29% to $100 million in Q2 2024, compared to $78 million in the prior year period. Net income attributed to common shareholders increased 63% to $0.28 per diluted share in Q2 2024, compared to $0.17 in the prior year period.

Looking ahead, while Celsius has not provided specific forward guidance for the remainder of 2024, management has indicated a conservative approach for the second half of the year. They are targeting gross margins in the "high 40s to 50 range" and plan to invest in growth with a "wider promotional incentive calendar." For Q3 2024, the company anticipates sales and marketing expenses could move above the high end of the 20-23% of revenue range as they train new employees and implement test market tactics.

Product Portfolio and Market Presence

Celsius operates primarily in the functional energy drink and liquid supplement category. The company's flagship product line is the CELSIUS brand, marketed as a premium lifestyle and energy drink formulated to power active lifestyles with "ESSENTIAL ENERGY." This product line is available in a 12-ounce ready-to-drink form and an on-the-go powder form. In 2023, Celsius introduced a new CELSIUS Essentials line, available in 16-ounce cans, further expanding its product offerings.

The company's products are offered in major retail channels across the U.S., including conventional grocery, natural, convenience, fitness, mass market, vitamin specialty, and e-commerce. Internationally, Celsius products are available in certain Canadian, European, Middle Eastern, and Asia-Pacific markets.

Competitive Landscape and Market Opportunities

The energy drink market is a highly competitive landscape, with established players such as Monster Energy (MNST) and Red Bull vying for market share. However, Celsius has demonstrated its ability to compete effectively, gaining significant traction with its innovative product offerings and targeted marketing efforts.

The company's focus on the fast-growing sugar-free energy drink segment presents a significant market opportunity. As consumers become increasingly health-conscious, the demand for functional and low-sugar energy beverages is expected to continue its upward trajectory, providing Celsius with a favorable tailwind to capitalize on. The global energy drink market is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 7.5% from 2023 to 2028, driven by increasing consumer demand for functional beverages and the growing popularity of energy drinks among the younger population.

Navigating Challenges and Potential Risks

While Celsius has enjoyed impressive growth, the company is not without its challenges. The energy drink market is subject to evolving consumer preferences, regulatory scrutiny, and intense competition, which could pose risks to Celsius' continued success.

Additionally, the company's reliance on key distribution partners, such as Pepsi, introduces a level of operational and strategic dependence that requires careful management. Disruptions in these partnerships or changes in the competitive landscape could potentially impact Celsius' performance.

Celsius has also faced legal and regulatory challenges. In 2021, the company received a letter from the SEC Division of Enforcement seeking the production of documents in connection with a non-public, fact-finding inquiry. While Celsius has cooperated with the SEC's investigation, the potential impact on the company's operations remains uncertain.

Furthermore, in January 2023, certain Celsius directors and present and former officers were named as defendants in a derivative action complaint filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Nevada. The company was named as a nominal defendant. The allegations involve purported false and misleading statements or omissions made between August 2021 and March 2022, which are claimed to have artificially inflated the company's stock price. This action asserts claims for breach of fiduciary duty, unjust enrichment, and violations of securities laws. The company believes these lawsuits are without merit and is seeking to resolve the matters expeditiously.

Nonetheless, Celsius' management team has demonstrated its ability to navigate these challenges, leveraging its innovative product portfolio, strategic partnerships, and disciplined execution to maintain its momentum.

Conclusion

Celsius Holdings Inc. has emerged as a disruptive force in the energy drink market, challenging the industry's status quo with its premium lifestyle positioning and clinically proven formulations. The company's strategic partnerships, geographical expansion, and impressive financial performance have positioned it as a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the dynamic and rapidly evolving beverage industry. As Celsius continues to innovate and execute its growth strategies, it remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for functional and health-conscious energy drink options, while carefully managing the challenges and risks inherent in its competitive landscape and ongoing legal matters.

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