DAY - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Dayforce Inc., a global leader in human capital management (HCM) technology, has carved out a formidable position in the industry through its innovative solutions and unwavering commitment to customer success. With a rich history spanning over three decades, the company has evolved from its roots as a payroll processing provider to a comprehensive HCM powerhouse, delivering transformative workforce management capabilities to organizations across the world.

Company History and Evolution

Founded in 2002 as Ceridian Dayforce Corporation, the company initially focused on providing a single cloud-based platform for payroll, workforce management, benefits, and talent management. In 2012, the company was acquired by Ceridian HCM Holding Inc. and rebranded as Ceridian Dayforce. This acquisition marked a significant milestone in the company's history, setting the stage for its future growth and expansion.

Over the years, Dayforce invested heavily in research and development to continuously enhance its cloud-based HCM platform. This commitment to innovation allowed the company to expand its customer base and grow revenue. In 2018, Ceridian Dayforce Corporation reached another major milestone by completing an initial public offering and beginning to trade on the New York Stock Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol "CDAY."

Challenges and Growth

The company's journey was not without challenges. In its early years, Dayforce faced the complex task of migrating customers from legacy on-premise systems to its cloud-based platform. This required significant investments in implementation services and customer support. Additionally, the company had to navigate a complex and evolving regulatory environment for payroll, tax, and HR compliance across multiple countries.

Despite these obstacles, Dayforce maintained a high customer retention rate by continuously improving its product functionality and user experience. The company also expanded its geographic reach, establishing operations in Europe, Asia Pacific, and Latin America to better serve multinational customers. In 2024, the company formally changed its name to Dayforce, Inc. to align with its flagship Dayforce HCM platform, solidifying its brand identity in the global HCM market.

Customer Base and Revenue Growth

As of December 31, 2024, Dayforce boasted an impressive 6,880 live customers with 7.62 million active users across the globe. The company's annual Dayforce recurring revenue, excluding float, grew by an impressive 20.7% on a constant currency basis in 2024, underscoring the strong demand for its innovative solutions. Dayforce's annual gross revenue retention rate also reached a remarkable 98%, showcasing the high level of customer satisfaction and loyalty.

Financials

Dayforce's financial performance has been equally impressive, with the company reporting total revenue of $1.76 billion in 2024, representing a 16.7% increase on a constant currency basis. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 140 basis points to 28.5%, demonstrating its ability to drive profitability alongside growth. Furthermore, Dayforce's free cash flow margin improved by 280 basis points to 9.7% of revenue, highlighting the company's strong cash-generating capabilities.

For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, Dayforce reported net income of $18.1 million, operating cash flow of $281.1 million, and free cash flow of $171.5 million. The company's Cloud recurring revenue, which includes both Dayforce and Powerpay, grew 19.1% year-over-year to $1.44 billion and made up 82.0% of total revenue. Gross profit increased 25.6% to $812.1 million, with total gross margin expanding 340 basis points to 46.1%.

In the most recent quarter (Q4 2024), Dayforce reported revenue of $465.2 million, representing 16.4% year-over-year growth, and net income of $10.8 million. The company cited a few factors that impacted the quarter, including lower than expected employee volumes, contract amendments that shifted revenue between recurring and professional services, and lower tax filing and print fees.

Innovation and Product Development

One of the key drivers of Dayforce's success has been its relentless focus on innovation. The company's product roadmap is centered around compliance, IT simplification, data, and employee experience, with a steadfast commitment to delivering cutting-edge solutions that address the evolving needs of its customers. In 2024, Dayforce introduced several groundbreaking features, including Dayforce Co-Pilot, an AI-powered assistant that provides contextual guidance and workflow automation, and Dayforce Talent Intelligence, a suite of AI-driven talent management tools.

The company's flagship product, the Dayforce platform, provides a comprehensive suite of HCM capabilities, including global HR, payroll and tax, workforce management, benefits, and talent intelligence functionality. Dayforce is a single application built with a continuous calculation engine, allowing for real-time data access and seamless workflows across the employee lifecycle. Dayforce recurring revenue is primarily generated from monthly subscription fees charged on a per-employee-per-month (PEPM) basis.

In addition to the core Dayforce platform, the company offers Dayforce Wallet, a digital payment solution that provides employees instant access to their net earnings through on-demand pay requests, generating interchange fee revenue when used. Dayforce has also integrated stand-alone tax filing services into the Dayforce recurring revenue stream after modernizing the technology platforms used to provide these services.

For smaller Canadian organizations, Dayforce offers Powerpay, a cloud-based HR and payroll solution targeted at businesses with fewer than 100 employees. Powerpay can typically be implemented remotely within one to three days, at which point the company begins recognizing recurring revenue.

Industry Recognition

The company's strong performance has been recognized by industry analysts, with Dayforce being named a Leader in the 2024 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Cloud HCM Suites for 1,000+ Employee Enterprises for the fifth consecutive year. This accolade is a testament to Dayforce's Ability to Execute and Completeness of Vision, as the company continues to set the standard for innovation and customer satisfaction in the HCM space.

Growth Strategy

Dayforce's growth strategy is primarily focused on three key areas: expanding its presence in existing markets, extending the Dayforce platform with new capabilities, and accelerating its global expansion. The company's sales momentum remains strong, with the fourth quarter of 2024 and the start of 2025 both delivering record-breaking sales performance.

Dayforce operates globally, with approximately 79% of revenue coming from the United States, 21% from Canada, 4-5% from Australia, and 3-4% from the UK in 2025. The company continues to focus on international expansion as a key growth driver.

Future Outlook

Looking ahead, Dayforce has provided guidance for 2025, projecting total revenue growth of 14% to 15% on a constant currency basis, excluding float revenue. The company expects Dayforce recurring revenue, excluding float, to grow between 15% and 17% on a constant currency basis. Dayforce has also raised its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 32%, up from the previous guidance of 31%, and anticipates free cash flow margin to increase to 12% of revenue.

The company is confident in its ability to sustain revenue growth around 15% while driving profitability improvements, targeting over 20% free cash flow margin in the midterm. Professional services and other revenue are expected to grow slightly faster than Dayforce recurring revenue ex-float in 2025.

Liquidity

Dayforce maintains a solid liquidity position to support its growth initiatives. As of December 31, 2024, the company had a debt/equity ratio of 0.48. Dayforce has a $350 million revolving credit facility, of which none was drawn as of the end of 2024. The company also has $575 million in convertible senior notes outstanding. Dayforce's current ratio and quick ratio were both 1.13 as of the end of 2024, indicating a healthy short-term liquidity position.

Challenges and Risks

Despite the company's impressive track record, Dayforce is not without its challenges. The highly competitive HCM market, the ongoing need for technological innovation, and the complexities of global expansion pose potential risks that the company must navigate. Additionally, the company's reliance on a limited number of large customers and the potential impact of macroeconomic conditions on its business model warrant close monitoring.

Industry Trends

The cloud HCM software market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 10-12% over the next 5 years as organizations continue to digitize HR and payroll functions. Dayforce has been able to outpace the broader market, growing Dayforce recurring revenue (excluding float) by 20.7% on a constant currency basis in 2024.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Dayforce Inc. has firmly established itself as a leading player in the HCM industry, driven by its innovative solutions, unwavering customer focus, and strong financial performance. The company's comprehensive product offerings, including the Dayforce platform and Powerpay solution, cater to a wide range of organizations globally. With a solid track record of meeting or exceeding guidance, strong revenue growth, and improving profitability metrics, Dayforce is well-positioned to capitalize on the vast opportunities in the global HCM market. As the company continues to execute on its growth strategy and navigate the evolving landscape, investors and industry observers will undoubtedly keep a close eye on Dayforce's ability to maintain its competitive edge and drive long-term value creation.

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