FOLD - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Business Overview and History

Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOLD) is a global, patient-dedicated biotechnology company that has established itself as a leader in the rare disease space. With a focus on discovering, developing, and delivering novel high-quality medicines, Amicus has built an impressive portfolio of approved products and a robust pipeline of product candidates targeting devastating rare and orphan diseases.

Amicus Therapeutics was incorporated under the laws of the State of Delaware on February 4, 2002, with the mission of addressing the unmet needs of patients living with rare genetic diseases. The company's journey began with a focus on discovering, developing, and delivering novel medicines for rare diseases.

A significant milestone in Amicus' history came in July 2012 when the company entered into an agreement with GlaxoSmithKline. This agreement granted Amicus global rights to develop and commercialize Galafold as a monotherapy and in combination with enzyme replacement therapy for Fabry disease. This strategic move laid the foundation for Amicus' future success in the rare disease space.

Galafold, an oral precision medicine for the treatment of Fabry disease, became a cornerstone of Amicus' portfolio. The product received its first major regulatory approval in May 2016 when it was authorized in the European Union and United Kingdom as a first-line therapy for long-term treatment of Fabry disease. This was followed by FDA accelerated approval in August 2018 for the treatment of adults with a confirmed diagnosis of Fabry disease and an amenable galactosidase alpha gene variant.

In 2023, Amicus achieved another significant milestone with the approval of Pombiliti Opfolda, a novel two-component therapy for the treatment of late-onset Pompe disease. This groundbreaking therapy, consisting of a uniquely engineered rhGAA enzyme with an optimized carbohydrate structure administered intravenously in combination with orally administered miglustat, has been approved in the U.S., European Union, United Kingdom, and Switzerland.

Throughout its history, Amicus has faced and overcome various challenges. In the fourth quarter of 2022, the company received Paragraph IV Certification Notice Letters from generic manufacturers indicating they had submitted ANDAs to the FDA requesting permission to market generic versions of Galafold. In response, Amicus filed patent infringement lawsuits against these manufacturers to defend its intellectual property. Additionally, like many companies in the biotechnology sector, Amicus had to navigate the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, which impacted its operations and clinical trial activities.

Despite these obstacles, Amicus has successfully built its commercial capabilities and expanded access to its rare disease therapies globally. The company's two approved products, Galafold and Pombiliti Opfolda, have allowed Amicus to establish itself as a leading rare disease biotechnology company focused on delivering transformative medicines to patients.

Financials

Amicus' impressive growth trajectory is reflected in its financial performance. For the full year 2024, the company reported total revenue of $528.3 million, representing a 33% increase year-over-year on a constant currency basis. This strong performance was driven by the continued commercial success of Galafold, which generated $458.1 million in revenue, as well as the successful launch of Pombiliti Opfolda, which contributed $70.2 million in revenue.

Galafold's sales growth has been particularly noteworthy, with the product capturing over 65% of the global market share of treated Fabry patients with amenable mutations. The company has attributed this success to a combination of factors, including strong patient demand, continued penetration into the diagnosed untreated population, and high compliance and adherence rates.

The launch of Pombiliti Opfolda has also been a significant driver of Amicus' growth, with the company reporting that it had 220 patients treated or scheduled for treatment with the product by the end of 2024. Amicus has been actively expanding the geographic reach of Pombiliti Opfolda, with recent approvals in countries like Australia and regulatory submissions underway in Canada and Japan.

Looking ahead, Amicus is projecting total revenue growth of 17% to 24% at constant exchange rates for 2025, with Galafold expected to grow 10% to 15% and Pombiliti Opfolda anticipated to grow 65% to 85%. This guidance underscores the company's confidence in its ability to continue delivering strong financial performance and solidifying its position as a leader in the rare disease space.

The company's financial performance in 2024 exceeded its prior guidance, with total revenue growth of 33% at constant exchange rates surpassing the projected range of 30% to 32%. Galafold's revenue growth of 18% at constant exchange rates also exceeded the guidance range of 16% to 18%.

For 2025, Amicus is guiding for gross margins in the mid-80% range and non-GAAP operating expenses of $350 million to $370 million. The company also expects to achieve positive GAAP net income during the second half of 2025, marking a significant milestone in its financial trajectory.

Amicus' financial performance has shown steady improvement, with the company reporting a net loss of $56.1 million for 2024, a significant reduction from the $151.6 million net loss in 2023. This improvement can be attributed to strong revenue growth combined with effective cost management strategies.

In terms of cash flow, Amicus reported operating cash flow of -$33.9 million and free cash flow of -$37.4 million for the full year 2024. While these figures are negative, they represent an improvement from previous years and reflect the company's ongoing investments in research and development and commercial infrastructure.

The company's most recent quarter (Q4 2024) showed strong performance, with revenue of $149.7 million, representing a 30.1% year-over-year growth. Notably, Amicus achieved net income of $14.7 million in Q4 2024, demonstrating the company's progress towards sustained profitability.

Amicus' global presence is evident in its revenue distribution, with 61% of total revenue generated outside the United States in 2024, while the U.S. market accounted for 39% of revenue. This geographic diversification helps mitigate risks associated with any single market and provides multiple growth avenues for the company.

Liquidity

Amicus Therapeutics has maintained a strong financial position, as evidenced by its key financial ratios. As of December 31, 2024, the company's current ratio stood at 3.39, indicating a robust ability to meet its short-term obligations. The quick ratio, which excludes inventory, was 2.60, further demonstrating the company's strong liquidity.

The company's cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $249.9 million as of the end of 2024, providing ample resources to support its ongoing operations and future growth initiatives. Amicus' cash conversion cycle, a measure of the company's efficiency in managing its working capital, stood at 799 days, highlighting the capital-intensive nature of the biotechnology industry.

Amicus' financial performance has also been marked by improved profitability, with the company achieving non-GAAP net income of $74 million, or $0.24 per share, in 2024. This represents a significant turnaround from the non-GAAP net loss of $39 million, or $0.13 per share, reported in the prior year.

The company's debt position is notable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.29. Amicus has a $400 million senior secured term loan facility due in 2029, which provides long-term financing stability. The company's strong liquidity position, combined with its improving financial performance, suggests that it is well-positioned to manage its debt obligations while continuing to invest in growth initiatives.

Risks and Challenges

While Amicus Therapeutics has demonstrated impressive growth and financial strength, the company, like any pharmaceutical and biotechnology company, faces a range of risks and challenges that could impact its future performance.

One key risk is the potential for competition from generic or biosimilar products, particularly in the case of Galafold. In 2022, Amicus received Paragraph IV Certification Notices from several generic manufacturers, indicating their intent to develop generic versions of Galafold. The company has initiated patent infringement lawsuits to defend its intellectual property rights, but the outcome of these legal proceedings remains uncertain.

Additionally, the company's reliance on third-party manufacturers for the production of its products and product candidates exposes it to potential supply chain disruptions, manufacturing issues, and regulatory oversight. Any disruptions in the company's manufacturing capabilities or failures to comply with regulatory requirements could have a significant impact on Amicus' ability to meet patient demand and maintain its commercial success.

Amicus also faces the inherent risks associated with the development and approval of new therapeutic candidates. The company's pipeline includes several product candidates in various stages of clinical development, and the success of these programs is critical to the company's long-term growth. Delays or failures in the clinical development or regulatory approval process could adversely affect Amicus' future prospects.

Geopolitical tensions, currency fluctuations, and macroeconomic conditions also pose risks to Amicus' global operations and financial performance. Approximately 60% of the company's revenues are generated outside the United States, making it vulnerable to changes in foreign exchange rates and economic conditions in its key international markets.

Conclusion

Amicus Therapeutics has emerged as a leading player in the rare disease space, with a growing portfolio of approved products and a robust pipeline of product candidates. The company's success with Galafold and the recent approval and launch of Pombiliti Opfolda have positioned Amicus for continued growth and profitability in the years ahead.

Despite the challenges and risks inherent to the biotechnology industry, Amicus has demonstrated its ability to navigate these obstacles and deliver transformative therapies to patients in need. With a strong financial position, a commitment to innovation, and a talented team of professionals, Amicus Therapeutics is well-positioned to capitalize on the significant opportunities in the rare disease market and create long-term value for its shareholders.

The company's focus on rare diseases aligns well with industry trends, as the rare disease drug market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 11.5% from 2024 to 2030. This projected market growth, combined with Amicus' established presence in the Fabry and Pompe disease markets, provides a favorable backdrop for the company's future expansion.

Amicus' commitment to advancing ongoing studies to broaden labels and strengthen its scientific leadership in Fabry and Pompe diseases demonstrates its dedication to maintaining its competitive edge in these therapeutic areas. The company's guidance for 2025, including expectations for positive GAAP net income in the second half of the year, reflects management's confidence in the continued commercial success of its products and the overall financial health of the organization.

As Amicus Therapeutics continues to execute its strategic initiatives and expand its global footprint, it remains a company to watch in the rare disease biotechnology sector. The combination of its innovative therapies, strong financial performance, and focused growth strategy positions Amicus well for sustained success in the years to come.

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