FWONA - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Liberty Media Corporation (NASDAQ:FWONA) has solidified its position as a powerhouse in the world of motorsports, steering the iconic Formula One (F1) racing series towards unprecedented growth and global acclaim. With a strategic vision that seamlessly blends tradition and innovation, the company has transformed the F1 landscape, captivating audiences worldwide and delivering impressive financial results.

Business Overview Liberty Media's acquisition of Formula One in 2017 marked a pivotal moment in the company's history. Recognizing the immense potential of the sport, Liberty embarked on a comprehensive strategy to modernize and expand the F1 franchise, leveraging its expertise in media and entertainment. Under the leadership of CEO Stefano Domenicali, the company has systematically enhanced the fan experience, diversified revenue streams, and positioned F1 as a global entertainment brand.

Liberty Media Corporation's roots as a media and entertainment company with diverse interests have shaped its approach to managing Formula One. The company's complex history of tracking stock structures and strategic reorganizations has provided it with valuable experience in optimizing the performance of its assets. Prior to 2016, Liberty Media operated with three different groups - Liberty Braves, Liberty SiriusXM, and Liberty Media. In 2016, the company underwent a significant restructuring, reclassifying its outstanding shares into three new tracking stocks: Liberty Braves common stock, Liberty SiriusXM common stock, and Liberty Media common stock, which was later renamed Liberty Formula One common stock.

The company's commitment to portfolio optimization continued in recent years. In July 2023, Liberty completed the split-off of its wholly owned subsidiary, Atlanta Braves Holdings, which owned the Atlanta Braves Major League Baseball Club and related assets. This move was followed by another reclassification of shares in August 2023, resulting in three new tracking stocks: Liberty SiriusXM common stock, Liberty Formula One common stock, and Liberty Live common stock.

A significant development occurred in September 2024 when Liberty completed the split-off of its wholly owned subsidiary, Liberty Sirius XM Holdings. This entity then merged with Sirius XM Holdings, creating an independent public company separate from Liberty Media. These strategic moves demonstrate Liberty's ongoing efforts to streamline its operations and focus on core assets like Formula One.

Financial Performance In the fiscal year 2024, Formula One Group, the segment responsible for Liberty's F1 operations, reported a 6% increase in total revenue, reaching $3.65 billion. This growth was driven by a combination of factors, including an expanded race calendar, contractual increases in media rights and sponsorship fees, as well as the introduction of new commercial partnerships. Adjusted OIBDA, a key metric for the company, grew to $767 million, reflecting a 70-basis-point improvement in margin year-over-year.

The company reported an annual net loss of $30 million for 2024, despite the strong revenue growth. Annual operating cash flow stood at $567 million, while free cash flow reached $492 million, underscoring the company's ability to generate substantial cash from its operations.

In the fourth quarter of 2024, Formula One Group posted revenue of $1.17 billion, with a net loss of $30 million. However, the company noted a decline in Q4 2024 revenue compared to the prior year quarter, primarily due to lower race promotion and media rights revenue, partially offset by growth across other revenue streams.

Formula One derives its primary revenue from the commercial exploitation and development of the World Championship through a combination of race promotion, media rights, and sponsorship arrangements. In 2024, race promotion revenue comprised 29.3% of Formula 1's total revenue, up from 28.6% in 2022. Media rights revenue accounted for 32.8% of total revenue, while sponsorship revenue made up 18.6%. Other revenue sources, including ticket sales for the Paddock Club, hospitality services, and ancillary operations, contributed to the remaining 19.3% of total revenue.

Liquidity Liberty Media maintains a strong liquidity position to support its operations and strategic initiatives. As of December 31, 2024, the company held $2.63 billion in cash and cash equivalents. Additionally, it has access to a $500 million revolving credit facility, which remained undrawn at the end of 2024. The company's debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.40, while both its current ratio and quick ratio were 0.32, indicating a solid short-term liquidity position.

Operational Highlights The 2024 season saw Formula One reach new milestones in fan engagement and global reach. Cumulative television viewership surpassed 1.6 billion, while the sport's social media following grew to 97 million, a 38% year-over-year increase. Attendance at F1 events also reached a new high, with over 6.5 million people attending races in 2024, a 9% rise compared to the previous year.

Liberty's strategic focus on expanding the sport's footprint has yielded impressive results. The company successfully renewed several key race promotion agreements, including the Belgian Grand Prix in a multi-year rotation, the Dutch Grand Prix through 2026, the Chinese Grand Prix through 2030, and the iconic Italian and Monaco Grands Prix through 2031. Furthermore, the company announced the extension of its partnership with Crypto.com through 2030 and a new agreement with global lottery operator Allwyn as an Official Partner.

Diversification and Innovation Alongside its core F1 operations, Liberty has made strategic investments to diversify its portfolio and leverage synergies. The acquisition of QuintEvents, a leading provider of premium hospitality and experiential offerings, has strengthened the company's ability to deliver enhanced fan experiences at F1 events. Additionally, the integration of the Las Vegas Grand Prix into the company's broader commercial activities has served as a testbed for innovative products and services, which are now being replicated across the F1 calendar.

The launch of the new F1 TV premium subscription service has also been a resounding success, with subscriber growth of 15% in 2024. This premium offering, which includes features such as 4K ultra-high definition, multi-view, and a virtual pit wall, has further solidified F1's position as a leading content provider in the digital age.

Human Capital Formula 1 boasts a global workforce of over 1,100 full and part-time employees across various functions including racing operations, commercial, and administration. The company's diverse talent pool is crucial to its continued success and innovation in the motorsports industry.

Geographic Performance While Formula One operates on a global scale, the majority of its revenue is generated outside the United States. Key markets include Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and North and South America. The company's strategic expansion efforts, particularly in the United States, have helped to diversify its geographic revenue streams and tap into new fan bases.

Industry Trends The Formula One industry has experienced steady growth in recent years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the mid-to-high single digits. This growth has been driven by several factors, including expanded global reach, growing fan engagement, and strong demand for media rights and sponsorships. The sport's ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological advancements has been crucial in maintaining its appeal to both longtime fans and new audiences.

Outlook and Risks As Liberty Media looks ahead, the company remains focused on capitalizing on the growing popularity of Formula One, particularly in the United States. The highly anticipated Apple movie about the sport, set to premiere in June 2025, is expected to further amplify F1's global appeal and drive increased fan engagement.

For the 2025 season, Formula One Group expects to host 24 races, consistent with 2024. The company anticipates continued revenue growth, driven by contractual increases across all revenue streams as well as new sponsorship deals. A key focus for 2025 will be improving the standalone economics of the Las Vegas Grand Prix, which fell short of internal expectations in 2024, primarily due to lower-than-expected ticket sales.

Liberty Media is actively addressing the challenges faced by the Las Vegas Grand Prix by streamlining operations, optimizing the ticket pricing and product strategy, and leveraging its London-based team to enhance the event's overall profitability. The company is targeting improvements in both top and bottom-line performance for this event in 2025.

The majority of Formula One's revenue for 2025 is already under contract, including sponsorship revenue which has been "derisked" by pulling the pipeline forward. This provides a degree of financial stability and predictability for the coming year.

In terms of financial outlook, Formula One estimates its cash tax rate will be in the double-digit percent of adjusted OIBDA, increasing modestly in future years. The company's operating capital expenditure is expected to remain in the 1-2% range of total F1 revenue, excluding one-time Vegas-related capital expenditures, which is consistent with historical trends.

That said, the company is not without its challenges. The successful integration of the Las Vegas Grand Prix remains a top priority. Liberty is actively addressing the issues by streamlining operations, optimizing the ticket pricing and product strategy, and leveraging its London-based team to enhance the event's overall profitability.

Additionally, the company must navigate the evolving media rights landscape, particularly in the crucial US market, where the future of its partnership with ESPN remains a topic of discussion. Liberty's ability to secure favorable media rights agreements will be a crucial determinant of its continued financial success.

Conclusion Liberty Media's stewardship of Formula One has transformed the sport into a global entertainment powerhouse. By embracing innovation, diversifying revenue streams, and strategically expanding the F1 footprint, the company has delivered impressive financial and operational results. As it looks to the future, Liberty's focus on enhancing the fan experience, driving digital growth, and navigating the changing media landscape will be critical to sustaining its momentum and solidifying F1's position as the premier motorsports series worldwide.

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