GEV - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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GE Vernova, formerly known as General Electric's power and renewable energy divisions, has emerged as a leader in the global energy transition, providing innovative solutions to meet the growing demand for clean, reliable, and affordable electricity. With a rich history spanning over a century, this company has positioned itself at the forefront of the decarbonization movement, leveraging its expertise and technological prowess to drive the world towards a more sustainable energy future.

Company Background and Spin-off

Incorporated in Delaware, GE Vernova was spun off from General Electric Company on April 2, 2024, marking a new chapter in the organization's evolution. As part of the spin-off, GE contributed $515 million in cash to fund future operations and transferred $325 million in restricted cash, resulting in an initial cash balance of approximately $4.2 billion for the newly independent company. GE Vernova also entered into several agreements with GE, including a Separation and Distribution Agreement, Transition Services Agreement, and Tax Matters Agreement, to govern the separation and future relationship between the two companies.

Historical Roots

The company's roots can be traced back to the late 19th century, when Thomas Edison's groundbreaking work in electricity and power generation laid the foundation for what would become one of the most influential conglomerates in the world. Over the decades, GE's power and energy businesses have undergone numerous transformations, adapting to the changing needs of the global energy landscape. In 2015, GE acquired the power and grid businesses of Alstom, which had been the subject of significant anti-competitive and improper payments cases prior to the acquisition. GE Vernova continued to manage the estimated $327 million liability balance related to these legacy legal and compliance matters.

Business Segments

Today, GE Vernova operates through three primary business segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification.

The Power segment focuses on gas, nuclear, hydro, and steam technologies, providing the critical foundation of dispatchable, flexible, and reliable power generation. This segment includes Gas Power, which saw increased demand for its Heavy-Duty Gas Turbines, with sales up 8% year-over-year in the quarter and 7% year-to-date. Nuclear Power revenues were up 7% year-to-date, while Hydro Power revenues decreased by 12% both year-over-year in the quarter and year-to-date. The Steam Power business completed the sale of part of its nuclear activities to Electricité de France S.A. (EDF) during the second quarter, resulting in a pre-tax gain of $853 million.

The Wind segment encompasses onshore and offshore wind turbine and blade manufacturing, catering to the growing demand for renewable energy sources. Onshore Wind revenues were up 3% year-over-year in the quarter but down 15% year-to-date as fewer units were delivered. Offshore Wind faced challenges, with revenues down 15% year-over-year in the quarter due to slower execution, partially offset by revenue recorded from the settlement of a previously canceled project. The segment also incurred incremental contract losses of $676 million in the quarter related to changes in product and project cost estimates. LM Wind Power, which provides wind turbine blades, saw revenues increase by 2% year-over-year in the quarter and 17% year-to-date.

The Electrification segment encompasses grid solutions, power conversion, electrification software, and solar and storage technologies, enabling the efficient transmission, distribution, and orchestration of electricity from generation to consumption. Grid Solutions revenues were up 30% year-over-year in the quarter and 27% year-to-date, driven by strong demand. Power Conversion revenues increased by 8% year-over-year in the quarter and 25% year-to-date. Electrification Software revenues grew by 7% year-over-year in the quarter and 2% year-to-date, while Solar and Storage Solutions revenues increased by 20% year-over-year in the quarter and 11% year-to-date.

Financials

GE Vernova's financial performance has shown improvement in recent quarters, despite facing some challenges in specific segments. In the fiscal year 2023, the company reported total revenues of $33.24 billion, a slight increase from the previous year's $33.01 billion. However, the company's net income experienced a significant decline, with a loss of $540 million, compared to a loss of $633 million in 2021. Operating cash flow (OCF) for 2023 was $1.19 billion, with free cash flow (FCF) of $442 million.

In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), GE Vernova reported revenues of $8.91 billion, representing an 8% year-over-year growth. This growth was primarily driven by double-digit increases in the Power and Electrification segments, partially offset by a decline in the Wind segment due to execution challenges in the Offshore Wind business. Net income for the quarter was -$96 million, down from $185 million in the prior year period. Operating cash flow for Q3 2024 was strong at $1.66 billion, with free cash flow of $1.13 billion.

Segment Performance

The Power segment reported $4.21 billion in revenues for Q3 2024, up 8% year-over-year, and $12.70 billion year-to-date, up 7%. Segment EBITDA was $499 million for the quarter, up 78% year-over-year, and $1.46 billion year-to-date, up 58%.

The Wind segment reported $2.89 billion in revenues for Q3 2024, flat year-over-year, and $6.59 billion year-to-date, down 9%. Segment EBITDA was $317 million for the quarter, up 41% year-over-year, and $607 million year-to-date, up 18%.

The Electrification segment reported $1.93 billion in revenues for Q3 2024, up 22% year-over-year, and $5.37 billion year-to-date, also up 22%. Segment EBITDA was $201 million for the quarter, up from $65 million in the prior year period, and $396 million year-to-date, up significantly from $66 million in the prior year period.

Liquidity

As of September 30, 2024, GE Vernova had a strong liquidity position with $7.39 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. The company also has access to a $3.0 billion committed revolving credit facility. The current ratio stands at 1.03, while the quick ratio is 0.76, indicating a solid short-term financial position.

Guidance and Future Outlook

GE Vernova has reaffirmed its full-year 2024 guidance, expecting revenue towards the high end of $34 billion to $35 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin in the range of 5% to 7%, and free cash flow between $1.3 billion and $1.7 billion, trending towards the higher end of the range.

For the Power segment in 2024, the company expects mid-single-digit organic revenue growth and EBITDA margin expansion at the higher end of 150 to 200 basis points. The Wind segment is anticipated to have essentially flat revenue year-over-year, with segment EBITDA moving closer to profitability, improving nearly 50% compared to the $1 billion loss in 2023. The Electrification segment is projected to achieve high-teens revenue growth and the upper end of high single-digit EBITDA margins for the year.

Looking ahead to Q4 2024, GE Vernova expects solid year-over-year revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion. However, free cash flow is expected to be lower year-over-year due to quarterly cash linearity improvements, lower onshore wind down payments, higher taxes, and higher CapEx.

Strategic Focus and Industry Trends

GE Vernova is well-positioned to capitalize on the accelerating energy transition and growing demand for electricity generation and grid modernization. The company's strategic focus on developing advanced technologies, such as small modular nuclear reactors, hydrogen-powered gas turbines, and grid-scale energy storage solutions, positions it as a key player in the decarbonization of the global energy system. Additionally, the company's commitment to sustainability, as evidenced by its recent publication of its first sustainability report, underscores its dedication to addressing the environmental challenges facing the industry.

As the world continues to grapple with the urgent need to address climate change, GE Vernova's role in the energy transition has become increasingly vital. With its diverse portfolio of energy solutions, deep industry expertise, and a renewed focus on innovation, the company is poised to play a pivotal role in shaping the future of sustainable energy, delivering value to its shareholders and contributing to a more sustainable global economy.

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