HOLX - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Company Overview

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX) has long been a trailblazer in the medical device industry, pioneering innovative solutions that have transformed the landscape of women's healthcare. With a rich history spanning over four decades, this diagnostics and surgical equipment powerhouse has established itself as a trusted partner to healthcare providers worldwide.

Founded in 1985, Hologic has evolved into a diversified, global leader, offering a comprehensive portfolio of products and services across four key business segments: Diagnostics, Breast Health, GYN Surgical, and Skeletal Health. The company started as a pioneer in digital mammography, launching its first full-field digital mammography system, the Selenia, in 2001. Through strategic acquisitions, organic growth, and a relentless focus on R&D, the company has solidified its position as a dominant force in the medical technology arena.

In 2003, Hologic made a significant move by acquiring Cytyc Corporation, a leader in cervical cancer screening through its ThinPrep Pap Test. This acquisition strengthened Hologic's position in women's health diagnostics. The company further expanded its capabilities in 2010 with the acquisition of Gen-Probe, a leader in molecular diagnostics. This allowed Hologic to offer a comprehensive suite of assays that run on its Panther and Panther Fusion diagnostic platforms.

Business Segments

Diagnostics

Hologic's Diagnostics division has been a shining star, driven by the continued success of its molecular diagnostics assays. The company faced challenges in the early 2010s as it integrated these large acquisitions but was able to turn the business around and establish itself as a leader in women's health diagnostics and imaging. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Hologic quickly developed and launched SARS-CoV-2 assays that run on its Panther systems, which helped drive strong growth in its diagnostics division.

The Diagnostics segment offers a wide range of diagnostic products, primarily used to aid in the screening and diagnosis of human diseases. This includes the company's molecular diagnostic assays, which run on its Panther and Panther Fusion instrumentation systems. The Aptima family of assays are used to detect infectious microorganisms that cause sexually transmitted diseases, human papillomavirus, trichomoniasis, and other conditions. Hologic also offers viral load tests and assays for acute respiratory infections like COVID-19.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Diagnostics revenues increased 5.1% to $470.6 million, driven by growth in Molecular Diagnostics, up 6.7%, and Cytology, up 4.5%. This segment had operating income of $118.9 million, with a margin of 25.3%. The growth was particularly strong in the Aptima BVCV assays and the Biotheranostics lab testing business, which saw double-digit increases.

Breast Health

In the Breast Health segment, Hologic has established itself as a market leader, offering a comprehensive suite of imaging systems, biopsy guidance tools, and surgical solutions. Despite facing some headwinds in the capital equipment market, the company has remained focused on diversifying its revenue streams, with its service business now accounting for over 40% of the division's sales. The upcoming launch of the Envision mammography platform in fiscal 2026 is expected to provide a much-needed boost, as Hologic capitalizes on its reputation for innovation and industry-leading technology.

The Breast Health segment provides a broad portfolio of solutions for breast imaging, biopsy, surgery, and pathology. Key products include the 3D Dimensions and 3Dimensions mammography systems, minimally invasive biopsy guidance systems, and breast lesion localization and specimen radiology products. In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Breast Health revenues declined 2.3% to $369.1 million, primarily due to lower demand for the company's digital mammography systems. Operating income for Breast Health was $67.5 million, with a margin of 18.3%. The decline in this segment was mainly attributed to lower sales of capital equipment as customers delay purchases ahead of the upcoming Envision platform launch.

GYN Surgical

Hologic's GYN Surgical business has also emerged as a key growth driver, buoyed by the company's strategic acquisitions and organic product development initiatives. Over the years, Hologic has continued to expand its women's health portfolio through the acquisitions of Suros Surgical Systems, Interlace Medical, Biotheranostics, Focal Therapeutics, Acessa Health, and Endomag. These tuck-in acquisitions have strengthened Hologic's position in areas like breast biopsy, fibroid treatment, and cancer diagnostics. The integration of Gynesonics, a provider of minimally invasive treatments for uterine fibroids, has further strengthened the company's position in this specialized market. Moreover, the continued global expansion of Hologic's MyoSure and NovaSure product lines has bolstered the division's international footprint.

The GYN Surgical segment offers products for minimally invasive gynecological procedures, such as the MyoSure tissue removal system, NovaSure endometrial ablation device, Fluent fluid management system, and Acessa radiofrequency ablation system. In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, GYN Surgical revenues increased 2.5% to $166.3 million, and operating income was $46.6 million, with a margin of 28.0%.

Skeletal Health

While the company's Skeletal Health segment has faced some challenges, with a temporary stop-ship impacting Horizon DXA system sales, Hologic remains confident in its ability to resolve these issues and resume normal operations in the coming quarters. The segment's focus on developing innovative solutions for orthopedic and extremity imaging continues to hold promise for future growth.

The Skeletal Health segment produces the Horizon dual-energy X-ray system for bone density and body composition assessment, as well as the Fluoroscan Insight mini C-arm for minimally invasive orthopedic procedures. Skeletal Health revenues declined 37.8% to $15.8 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, primarily due to a temporary stoppage in shipments of the Horizon DXA system. Operating income for this segment was $3.2 million, with a margin of 20.5%.

Financials and Liquidity

Hologic's financial performance has been consistently strong, with the company reporting net income of $789.5 million and operating cash flow of $1.29 billion in the fiscal year ended September 28, 2024. The company's non-GAAP earnings per share grew by 5.1% year-over-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, reflecting the company's ability to drive profitability even in the face of macroeconomic challenges.

For the fiscal year 2024, Hologic generated annual revenue of $4.03 billion and annual free cash flow of $1.15 billion. In the most recent quarter (Q1 2025), the company reported quarterly revenue of $1.022 billion and quarterly net income of $201 million. The year-over-year revenue growth was 1% on a constant currency basis.

Hologic generates the majority of its revenue (74.2% in Q1 2025) from the United States. The remaining revenue comes from Europe (14.6%), Asia-Pacific (5.9%), and Rest of World (5.3%).

The company's liquidity position remains strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01. As of December 28, 2024, Hologic had $1.78 billion in cash and cash equivalents, as well as access to a $2 billion revolving credit facility, with no amounts drawn. The company's current ratio of 3.49 and quick ratio of 2.78 further underscore its strong liquidity position.

From 2014 to 2024, Hologic grew revenue at a compound annual growth rate of 4.8% and non-GAAP earnings per share at a CAGR of 10.8%. The company believes it can continue to grow earnings at a double-digit rate in the future, driven by mid-single digit revenue growth, modest margin expansion, and a mix of acquisitions and share buybacks.

Risks and Outlook

However, Hologic is not without its risks. The company has faced headwinds from a strengthening U.S. dollar, which has impacted its reported revenues, as well as uncertainty surrounding potential policy changes in the U.S. that could affect its international operations. Additionally, the highly competitive nature of the medical device industry requires Hologic to maintain its innovative edge and continue investing in R&D to stay ahead of the curve.

Despite these challenges, Hologic's long-term outlook remains promising. The company's diversified business model, strong market positions, and commitment to innovation position it well to navigate the evolving healthcare landscape. With a robust pipeline of new products and a focus on strategic acquisitions, Hologic is poised to continue delivering value to its shareholders in the years to come.

For the full fiscal year 2025, Hologic has lowered its revenue guidance range by $100 million to $4.05 billion to $4.10 billion. This reduction is primarily due to the significant strengthening of the US dollar, which is now expected to be a $30 million headwind for the full year, lower expected sales of Breast Health capital equipment, and potential policy changes in the US administration that could disrupt Hologic's HIV testing business and expose them to tariffs on products imported from Mexico.

Despite these revenue headwinds, Hologic is maintaining its non-GAAP EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.35 for the full year, demonstrating strong financial discipline and capabilities to mitigate the bottom line impact. For the second quarter of fiscal 2025, the company is guiding for total revenues in the range of $995 million to $1.005 billion, including a $10 million foreign exchange headwind, and non-GAAP EPS in the range of $1 to $1.03.

In conclusion, Hologic's enduring legacy as a trailblazer in women's health, coupled with its demonstrated financial discipline and operational excellence, make it a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the resilient medical technology sector. As the company continues to drive innovation and expand its global footprint, investors can look forward to Hologic's sustained growth and market leadership in the years ahead.

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