HUBG - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
Stock Chart

Hub Group Inc. (NASDAQ:HUBG) is a leading supply chain solutions provider in North America, offering comprehensive transportation and logistics management services focused on reliability, visibility, and value for its customers. With a history spanning over five decades, the company has steadily expanded its service offerings and geographic reach, solidifying its position as a formidable player in the rapidly evolving logistics industry.

Company History and Evolution

Founded in 1971, Hub Group initially established itself as a pioneer in the intermodal transportation market, leveraging the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of combining rail and trucking services. This innovative approach allowed the company to provide customers with nationwide, door-to-door intermodal transportation services. Over the years, the company has strategically diversified its business, adding truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), managed transportation, brokerage, and final mile delivery services to its portfolio. During the 1980s and 1990s, Hub Group expanded its intermodal and dedicated trucking operations by adding new facilities and assets like containers and tractors. The company also began offering additional services such as transportation management, freight brokerage, consolidation, and fulfillment. This multifaceted approach has enabled Hub Group to cater to the diverse needs of its customer base, which spans a broad range of industries, including retail, consumer products, and durable goods.

Industry Challenges and Adaptation

Throughout its history, Hub Group has faced challenges common to the transportation and logistics industry, including economic cycles, industry consolidation, evolving customer demands, regulatory changes, and fluctuations in fuel prices and equipment availability. However, the company's unwavering focus on reliability, visibility, and value for customers has allowed it to adapt and grow even in the face of these obstacles.

Business Segments

Hub Group's operations are divided into two main reportable segments: Intermodal and Transportation Solutions (ITS) and Logistics.

The ITS segment offers high-service, nationwide door-to-door intermodal transportation, providing value, visibility and reliability in both transcontinental and local lanes by combining rail transportation with local trucking. This segment includes Hub's asset-based trucking operations, which provide customers with local pickup and delivery services, as well as high-service local and regional trucking transportation using dedicated equipment. As of December 31, 2024, the ITS segment operated approximately 50,000 containers and a trucking fleet of 2,300 tractors, 3,200 employee drivers, and 4,700 trailers. Hub also contracts with around 500 independent owner-operators to support its drayage and dedicated trucking services. In 2024, the ITS segment generated $2.24 billion in operating revenue, representing 57% of Hub's total revenue. Operating income for the ITS segment was $56.95 million, or 2.5% of revenue, in 2024.

The Logistics segment offers a wide range of non-asset-based services, including transportation management, freight brokerage, shipment optimization, load consolidation, mode selection, carrier management, warehousing, fulfillment, cross-docking, and final mile delivery. This segment includes Hub's brokerage business, which provides truckload, less-than-truckload, flatbed, and temperature-controlled transportation services through third-party carriers. The Logistics segment also operates or has access to approximately 7 million square feet of warehousing and cross-dock space across North America to service its customers. In 2024, the Logistics segment generated $1.83 billion in operating revenue, representing 43% of Hub's total revenue. Operating income for the Logistics segment was $83.34 million, or 4.6% of revenue, in 2024.

Financials

In 2024, Hub Group reported total revenue of $3.95 billion, a 6% decrease compared to the previous year. This decline was primarily driven by lower intermodal revenue per load, partially offset by a 5% increase in intermodal volumes. The company's Logistics segment, which includes its brokerage, managed transportation, and final mile delivery services, generated revenue of $1.83 billion, remaining relatively flat year-over-year.

Despite the revenue decline, Hub Group's focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization allowed it to maintain a strong financial position. The company reported an adjusted operating income margin of 4.0% for the full year, a testament to its ability to navigate challenging market conditions. This represents a significant improvement from the 2% adjusted operating margin reported in 2017.

For the full year 2024, Hub Group reported annual net income of $104.04 million, annual operating cash flow of $194.42 million, and annual free cash flow of $143.57 million.

In the most recent quarter (Q4 2024), Hub Group reported revenue of $973.51 million, a 1.2% decrease year-over-year, primarily due to a 9% decline in intermodal revenue per load partially offset by a 14% increase in intermodal volumes. Net income for the quarter was $24.32 million.

Hub Group operates primarily in the United States, with some exposure to Mexico and Canada through its intermodal and cross-border services. In 2024, cross-border business to/from Mexico and Canada represented around 6% of intermodal volume and 3% of total company revenue.

Liquidity

Hub Group's net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio stood at a healthy 0.5x as of December 31, 2024, providing ample financial flexibility for future growth initiatives. The company's debt/equity ratio was 0.3091 as of the same date.

As of December 31, 2024, Hub Group had $98.25 million in cash and cash equivalents and $349 million in available borrowing capacity under its $350 million unsecured credit facility. The company's current ratio and quick ratio were both 1.33 as of December 31, 2024, indicating a strong ability to meet short-term obligations.

In 2024, Hub Group returned nearly $100 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating its commitment to delivering value to investors.

Strategic Acquisitions and Joint Ventures

One of the key drivers of Hub Group's performance has been its strategic acquisitions and joint ventures. In October 2024, the company announced a joint venture with EASO, a family-led intermodal and trucking logistics provider based in Mexico. This transaction expanded Hub Group's intermodal presence in the North American market, aligning with the company's vision of offering seamless cross-border solutions to its customers.

Earlier in 2023, Hub Group acquired Forward Air Final Mile (FAFM), a provider of residential last-mile delivery and installation services for large and bulky goods. This strategic move strengthened the company's logistics capabilities, catering to the growing demand for e-commerce-driven final mile solutions. In 2022, Hub Group had also acquired TAGG Logistics to expand its presence in the consolidation and fulfillment space, further diversifying its business and enhancing its suite of supply chain solutions.

Future Outlook

Looking ahead, Hub Group remains optimistic about the industry's trajectory, anticipating a continued recovery in the broader economy and a rebalancing of inventory levels. The company has guided for full-year 2025 revenue between $4.0 billion and $4.3 billion, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to range from $1.90 to $2.40.

For 2025, Hub Group anticipates high single-digit intermodal volume growth and low single-digit price increases in its Intermodal segment. Pricing in the first half of 2025 is expected to be comparable to Q4 2024 rates, with increases materializing in the second half. In the Logistics segment (excluding Brokerage), the company projects low to mid-single-digit revenue growth due to new business wins and organic growth. For Brokerage, Hub Group expects mid-single-digit volume growth, with potential upside if the truckload environment remains strong.

The company anticipates an effective tax rate of approximately 25% for 2025 and expects capital expenditures to be in the range of $50 million to $70 million. Hub Group also expects earnings to step down slightly from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025 due to lower seasonal demand, followed by an increase in profitability as the year progresses.

Key to Hub Group's future success will be its ability to leverage its diversified service offerings, robust technology infrastructure, and strong customer relationships to capture market share in both its core intermodal business and its expanding logistics solutions. The company's focus on operational excellence, cost management, and strategic acquisitions positions it well to navigate the evolving logistics landscape and deliver sustainable growth for its shareholders.

Conclusion

Overall, Hub Group's longstanding history, diversified service portfolio, and financial discipline make it a compelling investment proposition in the dynamic transportation and logistics industry. The company's ability to deliver improved financial performance, as evidenced by the expansion of its adjusted operating margin from 2% in 2017 to 4% in 2024, demonstrates its capability to execute on strategic initiatives and navigate market challenges. As Hub Group continues to execute on its growth strategy, investors will closely watch its ability to capitalize on emerging opportunities and maintain its momentum in the years to come.

Read Archived Articles

Key Ratios
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Cash Ratio
Profitability Ratios
Gross Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin
Return on Assets (ROA)
Return on Equity (ROE)
Leverage Ratios
Debt Ratio
Debt to Equity Ratio
Interest Coverage
Efficiency Ratios
Asset Turnover
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover
Valuation Ratios
Price to Earnings (P/E)
Price to Sales (P/S)
Price to Book (P/B)
Dividend Yield
Revenue (Annual)
Net Income (Annual)
Dividends (Quarterly)