ICAD - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Business Overview and History: iCAD Inc (ICAD) is a global leader in clinically proven AI-powered cancer detection solutions, dedicated to creating a world where cancer can’t hide. With over 20 years of experience in the industry, the company has established itself as a pioneer in leveraging advanced technologies to revolutionize the field of early cancer detection.

iCAD was founded over 20 years ago with a mission to create solutions that can identify cancer earlier and more accurately. The company has established itself as a pioneer in computer-aided detection (CAD) and artificial intelligence (AI) for mammography. In its early years, iCAD focused on developing its core technology and building a strong product portfolio for breast cancer detection. The company received FDA clearance for its first CAD solution in the late 1990s, which helped drive adoption of CAD in mammography.

Throughout the 2000s, iCAD continued to innovate and expand its product offerings, further strengthening its position as a market leader. However, the company faced challenges in the late 2000s and early 2010s as the adoption of 3D mammography, or digital breast tomosynthesis, grew. iCAD successfully adapted its solutions to this new technology, maintaining its competitiveness in the market.

In 2016, iCAD acquired Xoft, Inc., expanding its offerings into therapy solutions for non-melanoma skin cancer and endometrial cancer. This diversification allowed the company to broaden its presence in the cancer care market. However, in 2023, iCAD made the strategic decision to divest its Xoft business line to focus solely on its detection solutions, realigning with its core mission of advancing cancer detection through innovative AI-powered technologies.

Throughout its history, iCAD has consistently demonstrated its ability to adapt and innovate in the rapidly evolving healthcare technology landscape. The company’s commitment to developing clinically proven, AI-powered solutions has earned it a strong reputation and market position as a trusted partner for medical providers around the world.

Financial Performance: As of the latest financial reporting period, iCAD’s total revenue stood at $14.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, representing a 12.9% year-over-year increase. Product revenue, which comprises a significant portion of the company’s overall revenue, grew by 27.3% to $8.9 million during the same period. This growth can be attributed to the strong demand for iCAD’s subscription-based and cloud-based offerings, as the healthcare industry continues to shift towards technology-as-a-service models.

The company’s gross profit margin remained robust at 84% for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, showcasing the efficiency and profitability of its operations. However, the company has been intentionally sacrificing some short-term GAAP revenue and cash flow as it transitions towards a more recurring revenue-based business model, focusing on building its annual recurring revenue (ARR) and securing long-term customer relationships.

As of September 30, 2024, iCAD’s total ARR stood at $9.3 million, up 10% year-over-year, with the company’s Subscription ARR and Cloud ARR reaching $2.2 million and $0.4 million, respectively. This transition towards a SaaS-based model is expected to provide the company with more stable and predictable revenue streams in the long run.

For the most recent fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, iCAD reported revenue of $17.32 million, net income of -$4.85 million, operating cash flow of -$4.96 million, and free cash flow of -$6.23 million. For the quarter ended September 30, 2024, the company reported revenue of $4.22 million, net income of -$1.80 million, operating cash flow of -$1.50 million, and free cash flow of -$1.46 million. This represents a 3.5% increase in revenue compared to the same quarter in 2023. The decrease in net income, operating cash flow, and free cash flow was primarily due to increased investments in R&D and marketing to support the company’s strategic shift towards subscription and cloud-based offerings.

In terms of geographic performance, for the nine months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, approximately 16% and 14% of total revenue, respectively, was derived from customers located outside the United States.

Liquidity: As of September 30, 2024, iCAD had a strong liquidity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, indicating no outstanding debt. The company had $18.79 million in cash and cash equivalents and no available credit lines reported. iCAD’s current ratio was 4.02 and the quick ratio was 3.91, further demonstrating its solid financial footing.

Operational Highlights and Strategic Initiatives: During the third quarter of 2024, iCAD continued to demonstrate its strong execution, securing several key deals, including a three-year cloud agreement with the University of California San Diego (UCSD) and a three-year cloud deal with Charlotte Radiology, another imaging provider for US Radiology. These wins highlight the growing demand for the company’s cloud-based solutions, which provide healthcare providers with cost-effective, secure, and scalable access to the latest AI-powered breast health technologies.

In addition to its domestic expansion, iCAD has also made significant strides in its global footprint, forging new commercial distribution alliances in countries such as the Dominican Republic, France, Spain, Turkey, and the United Arab Emirates. The company’s international growth is further bolstered by its recent regulatory clearances in South Africa and its first joint customer deal with Blackford, a subsidiary of Bayer, in Cape Town. iCAD expects to be active in expanding to new international markets like Chile, Argentina, Mexico, and Japan over the next 12 months.

The company’s strategic shift towards a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model, combined with its focus on global expansion, positions iCAD well to capitalize on the rapidly growing demand for AI-powered cancer detection solutions. As the healthcare industry continues to embrace technological advancements, iCAD’s innovative offerings and commitment to improving patient outcomes are poised to drive sustained growth in the years ahead.

iCAD operates in one reporting segment, Cancer Detection (Detection), which consists of advanced image analysis and workflow products for the detection of cancer. The company’s flagship product suite is the ProFound Breast Health Suite, which enables medical providers and professionals to accurately and reliably identify where cancer may be hiding and when it might make its move. The ProFound Breast Health Suite offers solutions for breast cancer detection, density assessment, one or two years breast cancer risk evaluation, and cardiovascular risk related to elevated levels of breast arterial calcifications.

Powered by the latest innovations in artificial intelligence (AI), and built on one of the largest, most diverse US-based and global data sets, the ProFound Suite uniquely offers 360-degree solutions for cancer detection, density assessment, and personalized risk evaluation, all based on a 2D or 3D mammogram image collection. The ProFound Breast Health Suite is cleared by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and has received CE mark and Health Canada licensing. In November 2024, the company announced that its ProFound Detection Version 4.0 for Digital Breast Tomosynthesis received clearance from the FDA.

The ProFound suite is used by thousands of providers serving millions of patients and is available in over 50 countries. iCAD estimates that ProFound has been used for more than 40 million mammograms worldwide in the last five years. The company’s technology can reduce radiologists’ reading time by 52% and help detect cancer earlier with greater confidence.

In the third quarter of 2024, iCAD closed 52 perpetual, 20 subscription, and 13 cloud deals, demonstrating the growing demand for its solutions across various business models.

Risks and Challenges: While iCAD’s prospects appear promising, the company is not without its risks and challenges. The highly competitive nature of the cancer detection market, with the presence of established players and emerging startups, could put pressure on the company’s market share and pricing power. Additionally, the company’s reliance on regulatory approvals and the potential for delays or setbacks in the approval process could impact its ability to commercialize its solutions in a timely manner.

Furthermore, the company’s transition towards a SaaS-based model, while promising in the long run, may result in short-term volatility in its financial performance as it sacrifices immediate GAAP revenue recognition for more stable and predictable recurring revenue streams. The company has acknowledged that this transition may cause top-line revenue to flatten or even drop in the short term as they shift more customers to their cloud/SaaS platform.

Industry Trends: The breast cancer detection market, which iCAD’s solutions serve, is experiencing strong growth driven by factors such as the increasing incidence of breast cancer, the rising adoption of advanced imaging technologies, and growing awareness about early cancer detection. Industry analysts estimate the global breast imaging market to grow at a CAGR of around 8% from 2023 to 2028. This trend bodes well for iCAD’s future growth prospects.

Conclusion: iCAD’s pioneering role in the AI-powered cancer detection market, combined with its innovative solutions, global expansion, and strategic shift towards a SaaS model, position the company for continued growth and success. As the healthcare industry increasingly embraces advanced technologies to improve patient outcomes, iCAD’s clinically proven products and strong market positioning make it well-equipped to capitalize on this emerging trend.

While the company has not provided specific quantitative guidance for future periods, management has expressed confidence in iCAD’s ability to capture substantial growth opportunities in the years ahead. The company’s robust financial performance, operational execution, and long-term strategic vision suggest a promising future for iCAD and its shareholders, despite the short-term challenges associated with its business model transition.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or other types of advice. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information presented here, the author and the publisher do not make any guarantees about the completeness, reliability, and accuracy of this information.

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