KRON - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Business Overview and History

Kronos Bio, Inc. (NASDAQ:KRON) has found itself in the midst of a turbulent period, marked by the discontinuation of its lead asset, istisociclib, and a strategic pivot aimed at enhancing shareholder value. The company's journey has been one of both promise and challenges, as it navigates the complex landscape of oncology and autoimmune therapeutics development.

Kronos Bio was incorporated in June 2017 as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing small molecule therapeutics that address deregulated transcription, a hallmark of cancer and autoimmune disease. The company's proprietary drug discovery platform, including its small molecule microarray (SMM) screening technology, has enabled it to identify and advance a pipeline of product candidates.

In the third quarter of 2020, Kronos Bio completed the transfer from Gilead Sciences of a portfolio of selective, orally bioavailable small molecule SYK inhibitors, including entospletinib and lanraplenib. However, the company faced setbacks with these programs. In the fourth quarter of 2022, Kronos Bio decided to close the Phase 3 trial of entospletinib to further enrollment due to significant delays from operational challenges and the impacts of COVID-19. Subsequently, in December 2023, the company announced that it would not be continuing into the Phase 2 portion of the lanraplenib trial due to insufficient responses observed in the Phase 1b portion of the study.

In January 2023, Kronos Bio entered into a collaborative agreement with Genentech, a member of the Roche Group, to jointly discover and develop small molecule compounds that modulate transcription factor targets. The partnership provided Kronos Bio with a $20 million upfront payment and the potential for up to $277 million in milestone payments, as well as tiered royalties on any commercialized products.

Early 2024 brought significant changes to Kronos Bio's organizational structure. The company announced corporate restructuring plans designed to optimize resource allocation and contain costs. These efforts included the elimination of three executive officer roles in February 2024 and a 21% reduction in the company's workforce in March 2024. The restructuring activities incurred significant costs, including severance payments and stock-based compensation expense resulting from the acceleration of outstanding equity awards.

However, the company's progress hit a significant roadblock in November 2024, when it announced the discontinuation of the development of istisociclib. This decision was made after a review of safety data from a Phase 1/2 trial in patients with platinum-resistant high-grade serous ovarian cancer, which revealed neurological adverse events ranging from Grade 1 to Grade 3 in five out of the seven enrolled patients.

Faced with the setback of losing its lead asset, Kronos Bio's board of directors has approved a plan to evaluate strategic alternatives focused on maximizing shareholder value. This includes the exploration of potential acquisition, merger, or other business combination opportunities, as well as the possibility of a dissolution and liquidation of the company.

Financial Overview

As of September 30, 2024, Kronos Bio reported $124.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, which the company believes will enable it to fund its planned operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements for at least 12 months. However, the discontinuation of istisociclib and the strategic review process may result in additional costs and challenges that could impact the company's financial position.

Kronos Bio's financial performance has been mixed, with the company reporting revenue of $2.37 million and a net loss of $14.11 million for the third quarter of 2024. The revenue was primarily generated from the company's collaboration agreement with Genentech, while the net loss was driven by research and development expenses as well as impairment charges related to the company's long-lived assets.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, Kronos Bio reported revenue of $7.58 million and a net loss of $60.27 million. The company's cash flow position has also been challenging, with negative operating and free cash flows of $52.60 million and $52.61 million, respectively, for the nine-month period.

The company's financial metrics for the most recent quarter show an operating cash flow (OCF) of ($12,371,000) and a free cash flow (FCF) of ($12,364,000). The current ratio and quick ratio both stand at 8.32, indicating a strong short-term liquidity position despite the negative cash flows.

Liquidity

Kronos Bio's liquidity position is a critical factor in its ability to continue operations and pursue its strategic objectives. The company's $124.9 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments provides a runway for at least 12 months of operations. However, the company may need to seek additional funding through equity or debt offerings, or through strategic partnerships, to extend its cash runway and support its ongoing research and development efforts.

The company's current ratio and quick ratio of 8.32 suggest a strong ability to meet short-term obligations. However, the lack of information on debt-to-equity ratio and credit facilities limits a comprehensive assessment of the company's long-term financial flexibility.

Risks and Challenges

Kronos Bio's decision to discontinue the development of istisociclib has significantly impacted the company's pipeline and near-term prospects. The loss of its lead asset leaves the company's future growth heavily dependent on the success of its preclinical-stage p300 KAT inhibitor programs, KB-9558 and KB-7898, which are still in early stages of development.

KB-9558 is being developed for the treatment of multiple myeloma and human papillomavirus (HPV)-driven tumors, and is currently in IND-enabling studies. KB-7898 is being developed as an oral therapy for Sjögren's disease, a chronic autoimmune condition. The success of these programs is crucial for the company's future, but they are still far from market readiness.

The company's ability to secure a favorable strategic alternative or potential partnership for its remaining assets is also critical to its survival. The highly competitive nature of the biopharmaceutical industry and the limited resources available to Kronos Bio could make it challenging to attract suitable partners or acquirers.

Furthermore, Kronos Bio's financial position remains fragile, with the company's cash reserves expected to last only 12 months based on its current operating plan. The need to raise additional capital through equity or debt financing, or through a strategic transaction, poses a significant risk and could result in further dilution for existing shareholders.

Outlook and Conclusion

Kronos Bio's decision to discontinue istisociclib and explore strategic alternatives represents a significant turning point for the company. The loss of its lead asset is a setback, but the company's commitment to evaluating options that could maximize shareholder value suggests a proactive approach to navigating the challenges it faces.

The success of Kronos Bio's preclinical p300 KAT inhibitor programs, as well as its ability to secure a favorable strategic transaction, will be critical in determining the company's future trajectory. Investors will closely watch for updates on the strategic review process and any potential partnerships or acquisitions that could bolster Kronos Bio's pipeline and financial position.

Despite the current obstacles, Kronos Bio's commitment to addressing unmet needs in oncology and autoimmune diseases through its innovative approach to transcriptional regulation remains a compelling aspect of the company's story. The outcome of the strategic review process will be a crucial determinant of Kronos Bio's ability to capitalize on its scientific expertise and deliver value to shareholders.

The company's focus on small molecule therapeutics for cancer and autoimmune diseases, particularly its preclinical programs targeting the p300 lysine acetyltransferase (KAT) enzyme, represents its primary product segment. The success of these programs, especially KB-9558 for multiple myeloma and KB-7898 for Sjögren's disease, will be crucial for the company's future prospects.

As Kronos Bio navigates this challenging period, its ability to manage costs, advance its preclinical pipeline, and potentially secure strategic partnerships or transactions will be key factors in determining its long-term viability and potential for creating shareholder value.

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