KTCC - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Business Overview and History Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) is a leading provider of electronic manufacturing services (EMS), offering value-added design and manufacturing services from its facilities across the United States, Mexico, China, and Vietnam. With a rich history spanning over four decades, the company has navigated the evolving landscape of the EMS industry, adapting its strategies to capitalize on emerging trends and meet the diverse needs of its growing customer base.

Founded in 1969, Key Tronic Corporation started as a small manufacturer of keyboards and input devices, catering primarily to the personal computer market. Over the years, the company has transformed itself into a versatile EMS provider, leveraging its extensive engineering expertise and global manufacturing capabilities to serve a wide range of industries, including aerospace, healthcare, industrial, and consumer electronics.

As the company grew, it expanded its capabilities to include printed circuit board assemblies, precision molding, sheet metal fabrication, tool making, assembly, and engineering services. This diversification allowed Key Tronic to serve a wider range of industries beyond just personal computers. The company's global footprint and design expertise have allowed it to serve a diverse customer base, including some of the world's leading original equipment manufacturers.

Key Tronic has continuously invested in its manufacturing capabilities, technology, and vertical integration to provide value-added services to its customers. The company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions and customer needs has been integral to its longevity in the EMS industry. However, Key Tronic has faced various challenges over the decades, including navigating shifting market demands, managing global operations, and dealing with industry-wide component shortages.

In the past, the company had to obtain waivers and amend loan agreements due to breaches of financial covenants related to its credit facilities. More recently, in 2024, Key Tronic disclosed a material weakness in its internal controls over financial reporting, which required significant time and resources to remediate.

Financial Overview Key Tronic's financial performance has been a mixed bag in recent years. In the most recent quarter, the company reported revenue of $113.85 million, representing a 23% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. This decline was primarily due to unexpected component shortages, lower-than-expected production during the holiday season, and reduced demand from certain customers, which together lowered revenue by approximately $15 million for the quarter.

The company's net income for the most recent quarter was -$4.91 million, compared to a net income of $1.1 million or $0.10 per share for the same period of fiscal 2024. For the first six months of fiscal 2025, the net loss was $33.8 million or $0.35 per share compared to net income of $1.4 million or $0.13 per share for the same period of fiscal 2024.

Key Tronic's operating cash flow for the quarter stood at $1.59 million, while free cash flow was $1.15 million. The company's current ratio of 2.78 indicates a strong liquidity position, while its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 suggests a well-managed capital structure. As of the latest report, Key Tronic had $4.24 million in cash.

The company's financial flexibility is further supported by its credit facilities. Key Tronic entered into a new asset-based senior secured revolving credit facility on December 3, 2024, that provides for up to $115 million in availability, of which $18.1 million was available as of December 28, 2024. The company also has a $28 million term loan facility.

Diversification and Expansion Efforts In response to the evolving market dynamics, Key Tronic has been actively diversifying its customer base and expanding its manufacturing capabilities. The company has secured several new program wins in the aerospace and energy resiliency technology sectors, which are expected to contribute significantly to its revenue and profitability in the coming years.

Furthermore, Key Tronic is strategically expanding its production capacity in the United States and Vietnam to capitalize on the growing trend of onshoring and nearshoring manufacturing. The company's new facilities in Arkansas and Vietnam are expected to be fully operational by the end of 2025, providing additional flexibility and cost-effectiveness to its customers. This expansion is also expected to help mitigate the adverse impact of potential tariffs.

Navigating Geopolitical Challenges The ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties have posed significant challenges for Key Tronic. The potential tariffs on imports from China and Mexico have added complexity to the company's supply chain and cost structure. In response, Key Tronic is proactively rebalancing its manufacturing footprint and exploring alternative sourcing options to mitigate the impact of these uncertainties.

The company's diversified global presence and strong relationships with its customers have been instrumental in navigating these turbulent times. Key Tronic's ability to adapt and innovate has allowed it to remain competitive and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the EMS market.

Risks and Uncertainties Like any EMS provider, Key Tronic faces a range of risks and uncertainties, including volatile customer demand, fluctuations in component availability, and the potential impact of macroeconomic factors on its operations. The company's reliance on a limited number of large customers and the highly competitive nature of the EMS industry also present ongoing challenges.

Furthermore, the company's recent cybersecurity incident and the resulting material weaknesses in its internal controls have added to the risks and uncertainties facing Key Tronic. The company is actively working to remediate these issues and strengthen its overall control environment.

Product Segments Key Tronic operates in two main product segments: Compute & Networking and Graphics.

The Compute & Networking segment is Key Tronic's primary growth driver, encompassing the company's data center accelerated computing platform, networking solutions, and automotive products. In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, this segment saw net sales decrease by 23% year-over-year to $113.85 million, compared to $147.85 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year. This decrease was primarily due to the factors mentioned earlier, including unexpected component shortages and reduced demand from certain customers.

The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service, Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics, and automotive platforms, among others. While specific financial details for this segment were not provided, it is likely that it was also impacted by the same market conditions affecting the Compute & Networking segment.

Outlook and Conclusion Despite the near-term challenges, Key Tronic remains optimistic about its long-term prospects. The company's strategic initiatives, such as expanding its manufacturing capabilities, diversifying its customer base, and enhancing its operational efficiency, are expected to yield sustainable growth and improved profitability in the coming years.

Key Tronic has decided not to issue revenue or earnings guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2025 due to the economic and political uncertainty related to new tariffs on China and potential tariffs on Mexico. However, the company expects to see growth in its US and Vietnam production and has a strong pipeline of potential new business.

The company anticipates that the recent operational adjustments and strategic cost savings initiatives will contribute to stronger financial performance in coming quarters as production volumes increase and they gain greater leverage on fixed costs, enhanced productivity, and a more streamlined supply chain.

As Key Tronic navigates the complexities of the EMS industry, its focus on innovation, customer service, and operational excellence positions it as a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the rapidly evolving electronics manufacturing landscape.

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