NE - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Noble Corporation plc (NYSE: NE) is a leading offshore drilling contractor, providing contract drilling services to the international oil and gas industry with its global fleet of mobile offshore drilling units. The company has a long and storied history, having been engaged in the contract drilling of oil and gas wells since 1921. Today, Noble's fleet of 31 drilling rigs consists of 18 floaters and 13 jackups, operating in a global market for contract drilling services.

Financials

In the latest fiscal year, Noble reported annual net income of $481,902,000 and annual revenue of $2,589,018,000. The company's annual operating cash flow was $574,337,000, while its annual free cash flow reached $164,756,000. These strong financial results underscored Noble's operational excellence and ability to capitalize on the resurgence in offshore drilling activity.

During the first quarter of 2024, Noble reported contract drilling services revenue of $612.4 million, up slightly from $609 million in the previous quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $183 million, down from $201 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, primarily due to the timing of certain rig contract startups and preparation activities.

Business Overview

The company's geographic footprint is diverse, with operations in Guyana, Nigeria, Switzerland, Luxembourg, and the United States, among other regions. This global presence allows Noble to capitalize on opportunities across various offshore basins, mitigating concentration risks.

Noble's business model is centered around efficient, reliable, and safe offshore drilling, providing the best services for its customers. The company's strategy has been further bolstered by its recent merger with Maersk Drilling, creating one of the youngest and highest specification fleets of global scale in the industry.

Recent Developments

The offshore drilling market has been experiencing a resurgence, driven by growing confidence in commodity prices, heightened focus on energy security, and the relative attractiveness of offshore plays with respect to both cost and carbon emissions. This trend has had a positive impact on dayrates for certain of Noble's rig classes, particularly in the ultra-deepwater floater market.

However, the market outlook varies by geographical region and water depth. While the company remains encouraged by the outlook in the ultra-deepwater floater market, it has observed an overall demand increase in the global jackup market, with the Middle East being the largest component of this increase. Conversely, activity levels in the North Sea and Norway ultra-harsh environment jackup markets remain subdued compared to historical levels.

Outlook

Noble's contract drilling services backlog, which reflects estimated future revenues attributable to signed drilling contracts, stood at $4.4 billion as of May 6, 2024. This backlog includes a commitment of approximately 60% of available days for the remainder of 2024. The company's top customers, including ExxonMobil, Aker BP, and Petrobras, account for a significant portion of this backlog.

Liquidity

The company's financial position remains strong, with a focus on liquidity and preservation of capital. As of March 31, 2024, Noble had a total contract drilling services backlog of approximately $4.5 billion, which includes a commitment of 60% of available days for the remainder of 2024. The company's cash balance as of the same date was $212.5 million.

Noble's capital allocation strategy is centered around delivering significant capital returns to shareholders. The company's Board of Directors recently declared a $0.40 dividend for the second quarter of 2024, bringing the cumulative total capital return to shareholders since the Q4 2022 merger to $400 million. The company also maintains a share repurchase program, though it did not repurchase any shares during the first quarter of 2024.

Looking ahead, Noble is maintaining its full-year 2024 guidance, which includes total revenue within a range of $2.55 billion to $2.7 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $925 million and $1.025 billion, and capital additions, excluding reimbursements, of between $400 million and $440 million. The company's outlook is primarily driven by the successful contract startups for the Noble Discoverer, Noble Faye Kozak, and Noble Regina Allen, as well as the performance of its 6th-generation floaters.

Risks and Challenges

Noble's commitment to sustainability is also a key aspect of its business strategy. The company recently published its Sustainability Report, outlining its comprehensive approach to decarbonization, which includes investments in technology, operations, and collaborative efforts with customers and partners. This focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors positions Noble as a leader in the offshore drilling industry's transition towards a more sustainable future.

Conclusion

Noble Corporation plc is well-positioned to capitalize on the resurgence in offshore drilling activity, leveraging its operational excellence, diverse global footprint, and commitment to sustainability. With a strong financial profile, a robust contract backlog, and a clear strategic vision, the company is poised to deliver value for its shareholders while contributing to the industry's evolution towards a more environmentally responsible future.

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