OSK - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Business Overview

Founded in 1917, Oshkosh Corporation has established itself as a leading global manufacturer of specialty vehicles and equipment, serving a diverse range of industries, including access equipment, defense, fire and emergency, and commercial. With a rich history spanning over a century, the company has consistently demonstrated its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics while maintaining a steadfast commitment to innovation and delivering value to its customers.

Financial Snapshot

Oshkosh's financial performance has been resilient, showcasing its ability to navigate various economic environments. In the fiscal year 2023, the company generated revenue of $9.66 billion and net income of $598.00 million. Its operating cash flow stood at $599.60 million, while free cash flow reached $274.30 million. These figures demonstrate Oshkosh's financial strength and the company's capacity to generate substantial cash flows to fund its operations and strategic initiatives.

In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), Oshkosh reported revenue of $2.74 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 9.2%. Net income for the quarter was $180.30 million. However, the company experienced negative operating cash flow of -$211.00 million and negative free cash flow of -$250.50 million during this period.

Diversified Business Portfolio

Oshkosh's business model is anchored in its diversified portfolio of segments, each catering to distinct end markets. The Access segment, which includes the JLG and JerrDan brands, is a leading provider of aerial work platforms and telehandlers used in construction, industrial, and maintenance applications. The Vocational segment, encompassing Pierce, Airport Products, Maxi-Metal, McNeilus, Oshkosh AeroTech, IMT, and Oshkosh Commercial, serves customers in the fire and emergency, refuse collection, and aviation ground support industries. The Defense segment, centered around Oshkosh Defense, focuses on tactical wheeled vehicles and parts supply for the U.S. military and other militaries worldwide, as well as delivery vehicles for the U.S. Postal Service.

This diversification has been a key strength, enabling Oshkosh to navigate various market cycles and mitigate risks associated with any single end market. The company's ability to leverage synergies across its business units has allowed it to capitalize on growth opportunities and enhance its overall resilience.

Technological Advancements and Innovation

Oshkosh's commitment to innovation has been a driving force behind its success. The company has consistently invested in developing state-of-the-art technologies to enhance the capabilities and performance of its products. From advanced aerial work platforms with smart fleet connectivity to fully integrated electric refuse and recycling collection vehicles, Oshkosh's innovative solutions have positioned it as a leader in its respective markets.

The company's recent acquisition of AUSA, a European manufacturer of specialty equipment, further strengthens its technology and product portfolio, particularly in the areas of wheeled dumpers, rough terrain forklifts, and telehandlers. This strategic move aligns with Oshkosh's focus on expanding its global footprint and diversifying its offerings to better serve its growing customer base.

Navigating Market Dynamics

Oshkosh has demonstrated its ability to adapt to changing market conditions. While the company experienced softer access equipment demand in North America due to macroeconomic factors, it has continued to deliver resilient margins in this segment. The vocational segment, on the other hand, has remained exceptionally strong, with robust backlog growth and improved pricing dynamics.

In the Defense segment, Oshkosh has secured contract extensions for its Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles (FHTV) and Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles (FMTV) programs, providing the company with increased visibility and more resilient margins over the next several years. The successful ramp-up of the Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) production for the U.S. Postal Service is also expected to drive growth and strengthen the company's positioning in this segment.

Oshkosh's agility in navigating these market dynamics, coupled with its diversified business model and innovative capabilities, has been instrumental in maintaining its competitiveness and delivering value to its shareholders.

Commitment to Sustainability

Oshkosh's focus on sustainability has been a key part of its strategic vision. The company's investments in electric and alternative fuel technologies, such as the Volterra series of zero-emission refuse and recycling collection vehicles, demonstrate its commitment to reducing its environmental impact and supporting its customers' sustainability goals.

Moreover, the company's recent achievement of having its greenhouse gas emission reduction targets approved by the Science Based Targets initiative underscores its dedication to mitigating climate change and aligning its operations with global sustainability efforts.

Looking Ahead

As Oshkosh navigates the evolving market landscape, the company remains well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities across its diversified business segments. Its strong financial position, technological prowess, and unwavering commitment to innovation and sustainability position it as a resilient and adaptable industry leader poised for continued success.

Historical Evolution

Oshkosh Corporation's journey began in 1917 as the Wisconsin-Michigan Tractor Company, initially manufacturing trucks and tractors. In the 1920s, the company rebranded as Oshkosh Truck Corporation and pivoted towards producing specialized defense vehicles for the U.S. military, a strategic shift that would significantly shape its future trajectory.

During World War II, Oshkosh played a crucial role in supporting the war effort by manufacturing various military vehicles and equipment. This experience further solidified the company's expertise in designing and building durable, high-performance vehicles for the defense sector, a specialty that continued to grow in the post-war era.

Diversification and Expansion

In response to defense market challenges in the 1980s and 1990s, including budget cuts and industry consolidation, Oshkosh embarked on a strategic diversification initiative. The company acquired several complementary businesses and expanded into new commercial and industrial markets. This pivot towards diversification proved instrumental in helping Oshkosh weather industry headwinds and emerge as a more resilient and versatile organization.

Throughout its history, Oshkosh has maintained a steadfast commitment to innovation, continuously investing in the development of new technologies and solutions to address the evolving needs of its customers. This unwavering focus on innovation has been a key factor in maintaining Oshkosh's leadership position in its markets and differentiating the company from its competitors.

Financials

Oshkosh Corporation has demonstrated strong financial performance over the years. The company's revenue and profitability have shown resilience across various market conditions, reflecting its diversified business model and operational efficiency. Oshkosh's ability to generate consistent cash flows has allowed it to invest in growth initiatives, pursue strategic acquisitions, and return value to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

In Q3 2024, Oshkosh reported consolidated net sales of $2.74 billion, a 9.2% increase compared to Q3 2023. This growth was primarily driven by improved organic sales volume across all three segments, an additional month of AeroTech sales, and improved pricing. Consolidated operating income for the quarter increased by 3.8% to $266.2 million, or 9.7% of sales, compared to $256.5 million, or 10.2% of sales, in Q3 2023.

Breaking down the performance by segment, the Access segment reported operating income of $207.9 million, or 15.2% of sales, in Q3 2024, compared to $229.9 million, or 17.4% of sales, in Q3 2023. The Vocational segment showed significant improvement, with operating income of $99.6 million, or 12.2% of sales, in Q3 2024, up from $52.5 million, or 7.6% of sales, in Q3 2023. The Defense segment reported operating income of $11.2 million, or 2.1% of sales, in Q3 2024, compared to $19.7 million, or 4.2% of sales, in Q3 2023.

Geographic Performance

Oshkosh maintains a global footprint, with the majority of its sales concentrated in North America. In Q3 2024, North America accounted for 88.2% of revenue, while Europe/Africa/Middle East contributed 7.4%, and the Rest of World represented 4.4% of total revenue. This geographic distribution highlights the company's strong presence in its home market while also demonstrating potential for further international expansion.

Liquidity and Financial Position

Oshkosh maintains a robust liquidity position, with a healthy balance of cash and available credit facilities. As of September 30, 2024, the company had $160.90 million in cash and cash equivalents. Additionally, Oshkosh has access to a $1.55 billion revolving credit facility, of which $934.50 million was drawn, leaving $591.00 million available. This strong liquidity profile provides Oshkosh with the financial flexibility to navigate economic uncertainties, invest in research and development, and pursue strategic opportunities as they arise.

The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.1682, indicating a conservative capital structure. Oshkosh's current ratio of 1.444 and quick ratio of 0.809 further underscore its solid short-term liquidity position. The company's prudent financial management has contributed to its long-term stability and growth prospects.

Future Outlook and Guidance

Based on recent performance and market conditions, Oshkosh has adjusted its guidance for the full year 2024. The company has reduced its adjusted EPS guidance from approximately $11.75 per share to approximately $11.35 per share. This adjustment reflects the evolving market dynamics across its business segments.

For the Access Equipment segment in 2024, sales are expected to be approximately $5.1 billion, down from the prior estimate of $5.3 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of approximately 16%, slightly lower than the previous estimate of 16.5%. The Vocational segment is projected to achieve sales of approximately $3.25 billion, with an improved adjusted operating margin of approximately 13.25%, up from the prior estimate of 12.75%. The Defense segment's outlook remains stable, with expected sales of approximately $2.15 billion and an unchanged adjusted operating margin of approximately 2.25%.

In response to these adjustments, Oshkosh is reducing its full year 2024 capital expenditure target by $25 million to $275 million and lowering its full year 2024 free cash flow estimate by $25 million to $350 million. These strategic adjustments demonstrate the company's agility in responding to market conditions while maintaining a focus on long-term growth and operational efficiency.

Despite some headwinds in certain segments, Oshkosh's diversified portfolio and strong market positions continue to provide a solid foundation for future growth. The company's ongoing investments in new product development, technologies like electrification and autonomous functionality, and strategic acquisitions position it well to meet evolving customer demands and capitalize on emerging opportunities across its various end markets.

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