PACK - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Ranpak Holdings Corp (PACK) is a leading provider of environmentally sustainable, systems-based, product protection and end-of-line automation solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains. The company's innovative paper-based packaging solutions are revolutionizing the way businesses approach packaging, catering to the growing demand for eco-friendly alternatives to traditional plastic-based materials.

Company History and Background

Founded in 1972, Ranpak has a rich history of pioneering sustainable packaging technologies. The company started as a paper-based void-fill innovator, and over the years, has expanded its product portfolio to include a wide range of protective packaging solutions, such as cushioning, wrapping, and automation systems. Ranpak's dedication to sustainability is evident in its commitment to using renewable, recyclable, and biodegradable materials in its products, which has earned the company a reputation as a leader in the eco-conscious packaging industry.

Ranpak operates manufacturing facilities in the United States and Europe, with sales and administrative offices in Brazil, France, the Czech Republic, China, Japan, and Singapore, showcasing its global reach. As of 2023, the company boasted an impressive installed base of approximately 142,000 Protective Packaging Solutions (PPS) systems, serving a diverse set of distributors and end-users worldwide.

Challenges and Mitigation Strategies

Throughout its history, Ranpak has faced various challenges, including fluctuations in paper costs, which constitute its largest input expense. To mitigate these fluctuations, the company has historically negotiated annual supply and pricing arrangements with most of its paper suppliers. However, as paper is a commodity, its price on the open market and the prices negotiated with suppliers can be affected by factors outside of Ranpak's control, such as supply and demand dynamics and the cost of other commodities used in paper manufacturing.

Another significant challenge for Ranpak has been managing the effects of currency fluctuations due to the geographic diversity of its operations. The company is exposed to both currency translation and transaction exposure, which can impact the comparability of its results of operations between periods and may affect future performance comparisons.

Despite these challenges, Ranpak has continued to grow and expand its global footprint. In 2019, the company entered into a First Lien Credit Agreement, which provided it with senior secured credit facilities. This strategic move has allowed Ranpak to invest in its business and continue developing innovative, eco-friendly packaging solutions for its customers.

Financials

Ranpak's financial performance has been marked by steady growth. In the most recent fiscal year (2023), the company reported revenue of $336.3 million, with a net loss of $27.1 million. Operating cash flow for 2023 was $52.6 million, while free cash flow was negative $2.7 million.

For the third quarter of 2024, Ranpak reported net revenue of $92.2 million, an 11.4% increase compared to the same period in the prior year. This increase was driven by a 14.7% increase in sales volume, partially offset by a 4.4% decrease in product pricing and mix. The company's net loss for Q3 2024 was $8.1 million, which included $3.1 million in unrealized gains on its strategic investment in Pickle Robot Co. Operating cash flow for the quarter was $10.6 million, with free cash flow of $30.3 million, showing significant improvement due to increased sales volume and effective working capital management.

Ranpak's gross profit margin for Q3 2024 stood at 37.3%. The company generates approximately 59% of its revenue outside of the United States, primarily in Europe and Asia Pacific. In Q3 2024, North America revenue increased 15.5% year-over-year on a constant currency basis, while Europe and Asia Pacific revenue increased 7.1% on a constant currency basis.

Global Presence and Market Diversification

One of Ranpak's key strengths is its diversified global footprint, with a strong presence in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. This geographical diversification has enabled the company to capitalize on various regional trends and opportunities, mitigating the impact of localized economic fluctuations.

Product Portfolio and Innovation

Ranpak's product portfolio is also a key differentiator, as the company offers a comprehensive suite of protective packaging solutions tailored to the evolving needs of its customers. The company's recent introduction of GrasiKraft, an innovative paper-based void-fill solution that combines grass fibers with recycled paper, is a testament to Ranpak's commitment to innovation and its ability to develop sustainable alternatives to traditional packaging materials.

Product Segments

Ranpak operates in two main product segments: Protective Packaging Solutions (PPS) and Automation.

The PPS segment represents the core of Ranpak's business, providing paper-based protective packaging systems and consumables to distributors and select end-users. As of September 30, 2024, Ranpak had an installed base of approximately 143,600 PPS systems globally. In Q3 2024, net revenue from the PPS segment was $84.90 million, representing 92.1% of total net revenue. Within the PPS segment, cushioning machines generated $32.50 million, void-fill machines generated $43.90 million, and wrapping machines generated $8.50 million in net revenue. The company reported a 9.0% year-over-year increase in PPS net revenue, driven by strong growth in void-fill and wrapping, partially offset by a decrease in cushioning.

The Automation segment provides end-of-line automation solutions, including automated box sizing equipment and related services. This segment leverages the company's R Squared Robotics division, which uses 3D computer vision and artificial intelligence technologies to improve packaging and logistics functions. In Q3 2024, net revenue from the Automation segment was $7.30 million, representing 7.9% of total net revenue. This segment experienced a 52.1% year-over-year increase in net revenue, driven by growing demand for Ranpak's automated packaging solutions.

Automation Business Growth

Ranpak's automation business has become an increasingly important revenue stream for the company. The company's automation solutions, which include robotic systems for sorting, loading, and unloading packaged goods, have gained traction with large e-commerce and industrial customers, as businesses seek to enhance efficiency and productivity in their supply chain operations. Ranpak expects its automation revenue to grow approximately 40-50% in 2024 and to repeat that level of growth in 2025.

Liquidity

The company's financial position remains solid, with a cash balance of $69.5 million as of September 30, 2024, and $43.5 million available on its revolving credit facility (after $1.5 million in outstanding letters of credit). Ranpak's debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.72 as of September 30, 2024. The company's current ratio is 2.36, and its quick ratio is 2.01, indicating a strong ability to meet short-term obligations.

Ranpak's net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio stood at 4.0x as of September 30, 2024, down from 4.6x at the end of 2023, reflecting the company's commitment to deleveraging. The company expects to continue deleveraging and reach its target leverage ratio of 3x net debt to adjusted EBITDA.

Future Outlook and Challenges

Looking ahead, Ranpak remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions. The company continues to feel confident in its guidance for the full year 2024 and expects to see continued strong volume growth in 2025. The protective packaging industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5-7% over the next 5 years, driven by the continued growth of e-commerce and demand for sustainable packaging solutions.

Ranpak's strong pipeline of new product introductions, its focus on expanding its automation business, and its ongoing efforts to strengthen its global footprint position it for continued growth in the years to come. However, the company is not without its challenges, as it navigates a macroeconomic environment marked by inflationary pressures, supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical uncertainties, which could impact its financial performance and operational efficiency.

Conclusion

Overall, Ranpak's commitment to innovation, sustainability, and customer-centricity has positioned the company as a leading player in the rapidly evolving packaging industry. As businesses and consumers alike increasingly prioritize eco-friendly solutions, Ranpak's comprehensive offering of paper-based packaging products and automation technologies make it well-equipped to meet the growing demand for sustainable packaging alternatives.

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