REX - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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REX American Resources Corporation (REX) is a leading ethanol production company that has been at the forefront of the renewable energy industry for over three decades. Headquartered in Dayton, Ohio, the company operates a diverse portfolio of highly efficient ethanol plants, strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for cleaner fuel alternatives.

Business Overview and History REX American Resources was incorporated in Delaware in 1984 as a holding company, initially focused on the retail industry. The company owned and operated discount department stores and apparel stores under the Builder's Square and Heck's brands. In the late 1990s, REX made a strategic pivot, divesting its retail operations and shifting its focus to the ethanol production business. This transition was driven by the increasing emphasis on renewable energy and the growing need for sustainable fuel sources.

In 2003, REX acquired its first ethanol production facility, marking the beginning of its transformation into a leading ethanol producer. Over the next decade, the company continued to expand its ethanol operations through additional plant acquisitions and expansions. A significant milestone in REX's history was the 2017 acquisition of a refined coal facility, which allowed the company to diversify its operations and leverage tax credits associated with refined coal production. However, as the plant was no longer eligible for federal production tax credits beginning in 2021, REX ceased operations at the facility.

Throughout its history, REX has successfully navigated various challenges common to the ethanol industry, such as volatility in commodity prices, fluctuations in ethanol and by-product prices, and regulatory uncertainties. The company's ability to maintain a focus on operational efficiency, cost control, and strategic investment in its ethanol production facilities has been crucial to its success.

Over the years, REX has built a strong reputation for operational excellence and technological innovation within the ethanol industry. The company currently has investments in three ethanol limited liability companies, two of which it owns majority stakes in. Its consolidated ethanol production capacity stands at over 400 million gallons per year, making it a significant player in the market.

Financials REX American Resources has consistently demonstrated solid financial performance, with a strong balance sheet and ample liquidity. As of the most recent fiscal year (2023), the company reported annual revenue of $833.38 million and net income of $60.94 million. Its operating cash flow for the same period was $127.97 million, while free cash flow reached $90.31 million.

The company's financial ratios paint a picture of a well-managed and financially sound organization. Its current ratio stands at 9.93, indicating a robust ability to meet short-term obligations. The debt-to-equity ratio is a low 0.04, showcasing a prudent capital structure and a conservative approach to leverage.

In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), REX reported revenue of $174.88 million and net income of $24.5 million. Year-over-year revenue growth decreased 21% in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023, primarily due to lower average selling prices for ethanol, dried distillers grains, and distillers corn oil, partially offset by higher ethanol sales volumes. Despite this revenue decrease, the company managed to improve its gross margin by 1% compared to Q3 2023.

Liquidity REX's liquidity position is further bolstered by its substantial cash and short-term investments. As of the latest fiscal year-end, the company's cash and cash equivalents amounted to $298.25 million. This strong cash position provides REX with the financial flexibility to invest in growth initiatives, pursue strategic acquisitions, and navigate any potential market volatility.

The company's quick ratio of 9.27 further underscores its strong liquidity position and ability to meet short-term obligations without relying on inventory sales.

Operational Efficiency and Expansion One of the key factors contributing to REX's success is its focus on operational efficiency and continuous improvement. The company's ethanol plants are widely recognized for their technological advancements and lean manufacturing practices, allowing them to consistently outperform industry benchmarks.

In recent years, REX has been actively pursuing expansion and diversification opportunities to enhance its market position and long-term growth prospects. The company is in the process of expanding its One Earth Energy ethanol facility in Gibson City, Illinois, with plans to increase production capacity from 150 million gallons per year to 175 million gallons per year. This expansion is now estimated to be complete by mid-2025, slightly delayed from the previous target due to equipment delivery delays. After this expansion is complete, REX plans to further permit the facility to allow it to produce 200 million gallons per year, which is expected to provide additional earnings power.

Additionally, REX is developing a carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) project at the One Earth facility. The carbon capture and compression portion of this project is substantially complete, but further work is subject to completion of the utility interconnection and regulatory approvals, which are still pending. As of Q3 2024, REX has invested approximately $103 million into the One Earth carbon capture project and ethanol production capacity expansion, compared to a combined budget of $165-175 million. The company has stated that it will manage near-term major capital expenditures related to the CCS project to maintain budgetary flexibility while waiting for regulatory approvals.

Regulatory Landscape and Opportunities The ethanol industry operates within a complex regulatory environment, and REX has demonstrated its ability to navigate these challenges. The company has actively engaged with policymakers and regulatory agencies to ensure its operations align with evolving industry standards and government mandates, such as the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS).

Looking ahead, REX is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities within the renewable energy sector. The Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law in 2024, introduced new tax credits and incentives for biofuel production and carbon capture initiatives. REX's ongoing CCS project and its focus on reducing the carbon intensity of its operations position the company to potentially benefit from these policy changes.

Furthermore, the growing demand for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) presents another promising avenue for REX. The company is actively exploring ways to leverage its expertise and infrastructure to participate in the SAF market, which is expected to experience significant growth in the coming years.

Risks and Challenges Like any industry, the ethanol sector faces its share of risks and challenges. Commodity price volatility, particularly in the prices of corn and natural gas, can significantly impact REX's profitability. The company's operations are also subject to environmental regulations, which may require ongoing investments to maintain compliance.

Additionally, the evolving regulatory landscape, including potential changes to the RFS and the implementation of new policies, could create both opportunities and uncertainties for REX. The company's ability to adapt to these changes and maintain its competitive edge will be crucial.

Ethanol and By-Products Segment REX American Resources Corporation operates primarily in the ethanol and by-products segment. The company's ethanol operations and resulting financial performance are highly dependent on commodity prices, especially for corn, ethanol, distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and natural gas. Price volatility in these commodities can significantly impact REX's operating results.

Corn prices, for example, are subject to fluctuations based on factors like crop conditions, weather, and trade policy. Ethanol and distillers grains prices do not always directly correlate with corn prices, as demand for crude oil, energy prices, export markets, and policy decisions can also influence them. This can at times reduce the overall margin structure at the plants.

To manage the risk from commodity price volatility, REX utilizes forward purchase contracts for corn and natural gas, as well as forward sale contracts for ethanol, distillers grains, and distillers corn oil. The company aims to match the quantities of these purchase and sale contracts to lock in an adequate gross margin. However, the market for future ethanol sales contracts generally lags the spot market, so REX can only execute fixed-price ethanol contracts for up to four months out. This limits the company's ability to predict longer-term movements in its realized crush spread.

During the first nine months of fiscal year 2024, ethanol revenue decreased 25% compared to the same period in 2023, primarily driven by a 25% drop in the average selling price, while gallons sold were relatively flat. Dried distillers grains revenue was down 27%, with the average price per ton sold decreasing 25% and tons sold down 3%. Distillers corn oil revenue decreased 27%, with the average price per pound down 27% and pounds sold down 1%. These declines were largely due to the decrease in underlying commodity prices.

Recent Performance and Guidance REX American Resources exceeded their guidance for Q3 2024, reporting the second most profitable quarter in the company's history. Net income per share for Q3 2024 was $1.38, an improvement of 97% over Q2 2024, primarily due to better corn pricing. For Q4 2024, REX stated that the quarter continues to be profitable, but trails the historically strong Q4 2023.

Conclusion REX American Resources is a well-established and respected player in the ethanol production industry, with a proven track record of operational excellence and financial discipline. The company's strategic focus on expanding its production capacity, developing innovative carbon capture initiatives, and exploring new market opportunities positions it well to navigate the evolving energy landscape and capitalize on the growing demand for renewable fuel solutions.

As REX continues to build upon its strong foundation and leverage its competitive advantages, investors may find the company's long-term growth prospects appealing. With its robust financial position, technological expertise, and commitment to sustainability, REX American Resources appears poised to play a significant role in shaping the future of the renewable energy sector.

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