REXR-PB - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Business Overview and History

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on acquiring, owning, and operating industrial properties in Southern California’s highly desirable infill markets. With a strategic focus on these high-barrier-to-entry regions, Rexford has established itself as a dominant player in the industry, leveraging its expertise to create significant value for its shareholders.

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. was formed as a Maryland corporation on January 18, 2013, along with its operating partnership, Rexford Industrial Realty, L.P. The company made its initial public offering in the same year, raising approximately $230 million to fuel its growth strategy. In the early years following its IPO, Rexford rapidly expanded its portfolio through strategic acquisitions, capitalizing on the fragmented nature of the industrial real estate market in Southern California. By 2016, the company had already amassed an impressive portfolio of over 100 properties, totaling more than 12 million square feet.

During its initial growth phase, Rexford faced the challenge of integrating its numerous acquisitions and implementing value-add repositioning strategies across its expanding portfolio. This required careful management of construction projects, lease-ups, and tenant transitions to drive occupancy and rental rate growth. Despite these operational hurdles, the company successfully delivered strong financial results, solidifying its position as a leading industrial REIT in its target markets.

A significant milestone in Rexford’s history came in 2019 when the company obtained an investment grade credit rating. This achievement allowed Rexford to access the unsecured debt markets, diversifying its capital sources and enhancing its financial flexibility. In subsequent years, the company continued its growth trajectory through strategic acquisitions while also expanding its use of joint venture partnerships to access additional capital and expertise.

Today, Rexford’s portfolio has grown to 423 properties with approximately 50.1 million rentable square feet, strategically located across Southern California’s key infill markets, including Los Angeles, Orange County, and the Inland Empire. The company’s journey has been marked by its ability to navigate various economic cycles and market challenges, demonstrating the resilience of its specialized focus on the infill Southern California industrial sector.

Rexford’s success can be attributed to its disciplined acquisition strategy, which targets underperforming or underutilized properties in high-demand areas. Through a combination of value-add repositioning, redevelopment, and active asset management, the company has consistently been able to enhance the functionality and profitability of its portfolio, driving impressive returns for its shareholders.

Financial Strength and Solvency

Rexford’s financial position is marked by a strong balance sheet and prudent capital management. As of September 30, 2024, the company had total assets of $12.42 billion and total liabilities of $3.96 billion, resulting in a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41. The company’s current ratio stands at 0.79, indicating a sound ability to meet its short-term obligations.

One key financial metric that underscores Rexford’s strength is its interest coverage ratio, which stood at 4.13 as of the latest reporting period. This ratio demonstrates the company’s ample capacity to service its debt obligations, providing a buffer against potential economic headwinds.

Rexford has also maintained a disciplined approach to its capital structure, with 100% of its debt being fixed-rate as of September 30, 2024. This strategy helps insulate the company from the risk of rising interest rates, which could otherwise put pressure on its profitability.

For the most recent fiscal year (2023), Rexford reported revenue of $797.83 million, net income of $238.02 million, operating cash flow of $427.55 million, and free cash flow of $160.98 million. The company’s financial performance continued to strengthen in the third quarter of 2024, with revenue reaching $241.84 million, a 17.7% year-over-year increase. This growth was primarily driven by a 16.9% increase in rental income due to higher average rental rates on new and renewal leases, as well as incremental revenues from acquisitions completed since Q3 2023.

Net income for Q3 2024 grew by 14.5% year-over-year to $67.77 million, reflecting the strong revenue growth, partially offset by higher interest expenses and depreciation and amortization. Operating cash flow for the quarter stood at $127.24 million, while free cash flow was $7.25 million.

Rexford’s liquidity position remains robust, with $61.8 million in cash on hand and $995 million available under its $1 billion unsecured revolving credit facility as of September 30, 2024. The company’s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29 and current ratio of 0.79 further underscore its financial stability.

Operational Highlights and Market Positioning

Rexford’s operational excellence is evident in its impressive occupancy rates and leasing activity. As of September 30, 2024, the company’s stabilized portfolio occupancy stood at an enviable 97.6%, highlighting the strong demand for its high-quality industrial assets.

During the third quarter of 2024, Rexford executed 1.6 million square feet of new and renewal leases, with net effective and cash leasing spreads of 39% and 27%, respectively. This performance underscores the company’s ability to command premium rents from its tenants, a testament to the desirability of its properties.

Rexford’s strategic focus on infill Southern California markets has been a key driver of its success. These regions are characterized by limited land availability, high barriers to new development, and robust demand from a diverse tenant base. As a result, Rexford has been able to maintain significant pricing power and consistently achieve strong occupancy levels across its portfolio.

Looking ahead, the company’s robust acquisition pipeline and active repositioning and redevelopment efforts position it well for continued growth. As of the latest reporting period, Rexford had $200 million of investments under contract or accepted offer, and it is actively working on 24 current repositioning and redevelopment projects, as well as an additional 15 properties in its near-term pipeline.

The company’s value-add initiatives are expected to drive significant NOI growth over the next three years. Rexford projects $222 million (34%) of embedded cash NOI growth in its current portfolio, including $91 million from repositionings and redevelopments, $72 million from mark-to-market adjustments, $51 million from rent steps, and $8 million from recent acquisitions.

Risks and Challenges

While Rexford’s track record has been impressive, the company is not without its risks and challenges. The highly competitive nature of the Southern California industrial real estate market, coupled with the potential for economic slowdowns or changes in consumer spending patterns, could impact the company’s ability to maintain its occupancy rates and rental growth trajectories.

Additionally, Rexford’s heavy reliance on the Southern California market exposes it to regional economic and regulatory factors, such as the implementation of California’s Assembly Bill 98 (AB 98), which could potentially introduce new development constraints in certain submarkets.

The company also faces the ongoing challenge of managing construction costs and project timelines for its repositioning and redevelopment initiatives, which could be affected by factors like supply chain disruptions and labor shortages.

Outlook and Conclusion

Despite the potential risks, Rexford’s long-term growth prospects remain strong. The company’s strategic focus on high-demand infill markets, combined with its proven track record of value creation through active asset management, positions it well to capitalize on the continued strength of the industrial real estate sector.

Rexford’s disciplined approach to capital allocation, conservative financial management, and relentless focus on operational excellence have been the hallmarks of its success. As the company continues to execute on its strategic initiatives, it is poised to deliver sustainable growth and attractive returns for its shareholders in the years to come.

For full year 2024, Rexford has increased its FFO per share guidance to $2.33 – $2.35, representing 7% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. The company’s 2024 same property NOI growth guidance is now 4.25% – 4.75% on a net effective basis and 7% – 7.5% on a cash basis, slightly reduced from prior expectations due to projected average occupancy of 96.5% – 96.75% and increased concessions.

The infill Southern California industrial real estate sector continues to exhibit strong long-term fundamentals, characterized by high demand and limited new supply. While market rents have increased significantly over the past several years, they have begun to moderate recently. Nevertheless, Rexford’s strategic positioning and operational expertise should allow it to navigate these market dynamics effectively and continue its trajectory of growth and value creation.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, legal, or other types of advice. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information presented here, the author and the publisher do not make any guarantees about the completeness, reliability, and accuracy of this information.

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