UNFI - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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UNFI's Business Overview and History

United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) is a leading distributor of natural, organic, specialty, produce, and conventional grocery and non-food products across the United States and Canada. Founded in 1996, the company has grown to become a key player in the food distribution industry, serving a diverse customer base that includes some of the largest grocers in the country as well as smaller independent retailers.

UNFI's origins trace back to 1996 when it was formed through the combination of several regional natural and organic food distributors. The company began as a leading distributor of natural, organic, and specialty products, serving independent retail customers across the United States. Over the next two decades, UNFI grew significantly through a series of strategic acquisitions, culminating in the transformative $2.9 billion acquisition of SUPERVALU Inc. in 2018. This move expanded UNFI's customer base to include both natural/specialty and conventional grocers, although the integration posed challenges, leading to operational disruptions and higher costs.

In the early 2020s, UNFI faced additional headwinds, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, ongoing integration issues, and rising inflation. The company responded by streamlining its operations, cutting costs, and improving its financial performance. This included facility closures, workforce reductions, and efforts to optimize its distribution network.

Today, UNFI operates a network of 55 distribution centers and warehouses spanning approximately 31 million square feet of warehouse space. The company's product portfolio encompasses around 250,000 items, ranging from national, regional, and private label brands across various categories, including grocery, perishables, frozen foods, wellness and personal care, and bulk and foodservice products.

UNFI's customer base is highly diversified, serving over 30,000 customer locations, including some of the largest grocery chains, independent retailers, supernatural retailers, and international customers. This broad customer reach, coupled with the company's extensive product assortment and value-added services, positions UNFI as a critical partner for both retailers and consumer product manufacturers.

Financial Performance and Liquidity

In the latest fiscal year ended July 31, 2024, UNFI reported total revenue of $30.98 billion, a 2.4% increase compared to the prior year. However, the company's net income declined to a loss of $112 million, down from a profit of $24 million in the previous fiscal year. This decline was primarily driven by $103 million in unusual items, including asset impairment charges and restructuring expenses.

For the most recent quarter ended July 31, 2024, UNFI reported revenue of $8.2 billion, up 2.1% year-over-year on a comparable 13-week basis. However, the company recorded a net loss of $21 million for the quarter. Operating cash flow for the quarter was $71 million, which was also equal to the free cash flow for the period.

Despite the recent profitability challenges, UNFI maintains a solid financial position. As of July 31, 2024, the company had $40 million in cash and cash equivalents and $2.05 billion in net debt, resulting in a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0x. UNFI's current ratio of 1.44 and quick ratio of 0.52 suggest adequate liquidity to meet short-term obligations. The company also has access to $1.23 billion under its $2.6 billion asset-based revolving credit facility.

UNFI's debt-to-equity ratio stood at 2.162 as of July 31, 2024, indicating a relatively high level of leverage. However, the company has set a target to reduce its net leverage to 2.5 turns or less by fiscal year-end 2027, demonstrating a commitment to improving its balance sheet.

Operational Initiatives and Strategic Priorities

To navigate the evolving grocery landscape, UNFI has implemented several operational initiatives and strategic priorities. The company has focused on optimizing its distribution network, closing underperforming facilities, and enhancing operational efficiency through the deployment of advanced technologies, such as its cloud-based warehouse management system and case scanning capabilities.

Additionally, UNFI has placed emphasis on growing its higher-margin natural and organic product categories, which represented the majority of its distribution profitability in the recent fiscal year. The company has also expanded its portfolio of value-added digital and professional services, which provide differentiated solutions and generate attractive margins for both retailers and suppliers.

Furthermore, UNFI is committed to reducing its capital intensity and improving free cash flow generation. The company expects to achieve this through network optimization initiatives, working capital management, and a disciplined approach to capital expenditures, with a goal of reaching well over 0.5% of net sales in free cash flow on an annual basis once initial strategic initiatives are executed over the next couple of years.

Competitive Landscape and Industry Trends

The food distribution industry in which UNFI operates is highly competitive, with the company facing rivalry from other national, regional, and local distributors. The industry has also experienced consolidation in recent years, as players seek to gain scale and leverage synergies.

Moreover, the grocery landscape is evolving, with changing consumer preferences towards natural, organic, and specialty products, as well as the growing importance of e-commerce and omnichannel strategies. UNFI's ability to adapt to these industry trends and provide innovative solutions to its customers will be crucial for its long-term success.

UNFI has noted that the $90 billion addressable market segment it is focused on is expected to grow at a low single-digit rate over the longer term, led by natural and specialty volume growth. This aligns with the company's strategic focus on these higher-margin categories.

Segment Performance

UNFI operates through two main reportable segments: Wholesale and Retail, along with an "Other" segment.

The Wholesale segment, which is UNFI's primary business, represents the majority of its net sales. This segment includes the wholesale distribution of natural, organic, specialty, produce, and conventional grocery and non-food products to a diverse customer base. In the third quarter of fiscal 2024, Wholesale net sales were $7.24 billion, which was flat compared to the prior year period. However, Wholesale Adjusted EBITDA decreased 12.6% in the third quarter, driven by an increase in operating expenses partially offset by gross profit growth excluding the LIFO charge.

The Retail segment consists of UNFI's corporate-owned retail grocery stores, including Cub Foods and Shoppers Food Warehouse stores. In the third quarter of fiscal 2024, Retail segment net sales were $571 million, a decrease of 4.5% compared to the prior year period, primarily due to a 4% decline in identical store sales from lower sales volumes. Retail Adjusted EBITDA decreased $21 million in the third quarter, driven by the decline in gross profit from margin rate investments and higher operating expenses.

The "Other" segment includes UNFI's international customers, foodservice, eCommerce, and other sales channels. In the third quarter, net sales in the Other segment were $50 million, down from $56 million in the prior year period. Other Adjusted EBITDA increased $8 million in the third quarter, primarily due to changes in incentive compensation.

Risks and Challenges

UNFI faces several risks and challenges that could impact its financial performance and growth prospects. These include macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and changes in consumer spending patterns, as well as operational risks, such as supply chain disruptions and labor shortages.

The company is also exposed to potential legal and regulatory issues, as evidenced by ongoing lawsuits related to its distribution practices. Additionally, UNFI's reliance on a limited number of large customers, such as Whole Foods Market, presents concentration risks.

Outlook and Conclusion

Despite the recent challenges, UNFI remains focused on executing its strategic initiatives to drive long-term value creation. The company's diversified product and service offerings, combined with its efforts to optimize operations and improve financial discipline, position it to navigate the evolving grocery landscape.

For fiscal year 2025, UNFI has provided guidance indicating continued growth and operational improvements. The company expects to generate revenue in the range of $30.3 billion to $30.8 billion, representing a modest increase of 0.5% at the midpoint when adjusting for the 53rd week in fiscal 2024. Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be in the range of $520 million to $580 million, an increase of 8% at the midpoint on a comparable 52-week basis.

UNFI also expects adjusted EPS to be in the range of $0.20 to $0.80 per share, an increase of over three times at the midpoint when adjusting for the 53rd week in fiscal 2024. Capital spending, including cloud implementation, is projected to be approximately $300 million, down from $370 million spent in fiscal 2024. The company is targeting to generate approximately $100 million in free cash flow, up almost $200 million year-over-year.

Looking further ahead, UNFI has set ambitious goals for the next three years. The company is targeting an annual adjusted EBITDA growth rate in the high single digits and aims to reduce its net leverage to 2.5 turns or less by fiscal year-end 2027. These targets reflect UNFI's commitment to improving profitability and strengthening its balance sheet.

As UNFI continues to adapt and innovate, its ability to provide comprehensive solutions and create value for both retailers and suppliers will be crucial in determining its long-term success. Investors will closely monitor the company's progress in executing its strategic priorities and generating sustainable financial performance in the competitive and evolving food distribution industry.

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