USB-PS - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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U.S. Bancorp (USB) is a leading diversified financial services company that has navigated through various economic cycles with resilience and adaptability. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, the company boasts a rich history spanning over a century, having been founded in 1863 as the First National Bank of Cincinnati. Through a series of strategic mergers and acquisitions, U.S. Bancorp has evolved into one of the largest commercial banks in the United States, with a diverse array of offerings that cater to the needs of individuals, businesses, and institutions.

Business Overview and History

U.S. Bancorp's journey began in 1863 with its establishment as the First National Bank of Cincinnati. The company experienced significant growth and transformation over the following decades. In 1929, the bank changed its name to First Bank Stock Corporation, marking a new era in its development. During the 1980s, U.S. Bancorp focused on expanding its consumer and commercial banking businesses while diversifying into new areas such as credit cards, mortgage banking, and investment management. This strategic diversification proved crucial in helping the bank navigate the economic challenges of the 1980s and early 1990s.

The 1990s saw a period of rapid expansion for U.S. Bancorp, with the company completing several major acquisitions. Notable among these was the purchase of West One Bancorp in 1995, which significantly expanded the bank's presence in the Western United States. The merger with Firstar Corporation in 2001 was another landmark event, propelling U.S. Bancorp to become one of the largest banking organizations in the country.

Despite the widespread turmoil caused by the 2008 financial crisis, U.S. Bancorp demonstrated remarkable resilience. The company's conservative risk management practices and strong emphasis on diversification across various financial services sectors enabled it to remain one of the most profitable and well-capitalized banks in the United States during this challenging period.

In recent years, U.S. Bancorp has continued its growth trajectory, investing heavily in digital capabilities to meet evolving customer needs and expanding its presence in key markets like the Southeast. However, the company has also faced regulatory challenges, including a settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice in 2018 related to deficiencies in its anti-money laundering controls. In response, U.S. Bancorp has taken steps to address these issues and maintain its reputation as a responsible financial institution.

Today, U.S. Bancorp operates through four primary business segments: Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking; Consumer and Business Banking; Payment Services; and Treasury and Corporate Support. The company's diversified business model and focus on innovation have been instrumental in navigating through various economic challenges and maintaining its position as a leading financial institution.

Financial Overview

Financials

U.S. Bancorp's financial performance has been resilient, with the company reporting consistent profitability and strong liquidity. For the fiscal year 2023, the company reported annual revenue of $28.01 billion, net income of $5.43 billion, and annual operating cash flow and free cash flow of $8.45 billion each.

In the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), U.S. Bancorp reported revenue of $6.86 billion, net income of $1.72 billion, and operating cash flow and free cash flow of $2.35 billion each. Compared to the same quarter in the previous year, revenue decreased by 2.4%, primarily due to lower net interest income and noninterest income. However, net income increased by 13.0%, driven by the impact of tax settlements in the quarter. Operating cash flow and free cash flow remained flat year-over-year.

The company's performance across its business segments in Q3 2024 was mixed. The Wealth, Corporate, Commercial and Institutional Banking segment contributed $1.19 billion in net income, a 0.3% increase from the previous year. The Consumer and Business Banking segment saw a 15.8% decrease in net income to $476 million. The Payment Services segment showed strong growth with a 24.2% increase in net income to $277 million. The Treasury and Corporate Support segment reduced its net loss from $448 million in Q3 2023 to $226 million in Q3 2024.

Liquidity

U.S. Bancorp maintains a healthy balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.13 and a current ratio of 1.10 as of the latest quarter. The company's quick ratio also stands at 1.10, indicating strong short-term liquidity. As of the most recent reporting period, U.S. Bancorp held $61.19 billion in cash and had access to an available credit line of $215.76 billion. This diverse set of credit facilities, including the Federal Reserve Bank discount window and FHLB borrowing capacity, provides ample liquidity for the company.

The company's strong capital position is reflected in its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 9.9% as of December 31, 2023, well above the regulatory minimum. This robust capital and liquidity position provides U.S. Bancorp with the flexibility to navigate the current economic environment effectively.

Quarterly Performance and Guidance

For the third quarter of 2024, U.S. Bancorp reported diluted earnings per share of $1.03, compared to $0.91 in the same period last year. Net interest income, on a taxable-equivalent basis, decreased 2.4% year-over-year to $4.17 billion, primarily due to the impact of higher interest rates on deposit mix and pricing, partially offset by higher rates on earning assets and changes in balance sheet composition. The company's net interest margin expanded 7 basis points to 2.74% in the third quarter of 2024.

Non-interest income decreased 2.4% year-over-year to $2.70 billion, driven by net losses on the sales of investment securities, lower service charges, and lower other non-interest income, partially offset by higher fee revenue across various categories. Non-interest expense decreased 7.2% year-over-year to $4.20 billion, primarily due to the impact of merger and integration charges in the prior year and lower other non-interest expense, partially offset by higher compensation and employee benefits expense.

U.S. Bancorp's return on tangible common equity was 17.9% in the third quarter of 2024, demonstrating the company's ability to generate strong returns for shareholders.

Looking ahead, U.S. Bancorp provided guidance for the upcoming periods. For the fourth quarter of 2024, the company expects net interest income on an FTE basis to be relatively stable compared to the third quarter's $4.17 billion. For the full year 2024, net interest income on an FTE basis is expected to be at the higher end of the previously provided guidance range of $16.1 billion to $16.4 billion.

The company also expects full-year non-interest income growth to be in the mid-single-digit range, but likely at the lower end of the guidance. Non-interest expense for the full year 2024 is expected to be $16.8 billion. U.S. Bancorp anticipates delivering expanding positive operating leverage in the fourth quarter of 2024 that will continue into 2025.

Risks and Challenges

While U.S. Bancorp has demonstrated resilience, the company is not immune to the various risks and challenges facing the banking industry. The company's performance is susceptible to changes in interest rates, as higher rates can impact its net interest margin and deposit mix. Additionally, the company is exposed to credit risk, operational risk, and regulatory risk, which could potentially impact its financial performance and overall stability.

The COVID-19 pandemic also had a significant impact on the banking sector, and U.S. Bancorp was not spared. The company experienced increased loan loss provisions and a decline in fee income during the height of the pandemic. However, the company's diversified business model and proactive risk management strategies have enabled it to navigate these challenges and emerge stronger.

Conclusion

U.S. Bancorp's long-standing history, diversified business model, and strong financial position have been key drivers of its success. The company has demonstrated the ability to adapt to changing economic conditions and navigate through various challenges, including the recent COVID-19 pandemic. With a focus on innovation, client-centric strategies, and prudent risk management, U.S. Bancorp remains well-positioned to continue its growth and serve the evolving needs of its customers, shareholders, and the communities it operates in.

The company's continued focus on expense management, with the goal of delivering positive operating leverage, coupled with investments in digital capabilities and integrated payment solutions, is expected to drive organic growth across its diversified business lines. U.S. Bancorp's strong capital and liquidity position provides a solid foundation for navigating the current economic environment, while its diversified revenue streams and disciplined risk management approach help mitigate market volatility. As the company moves forward, it is poised to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the financial services sector while maintaining its commitment to prudent financial management and customer-centric innovation.

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