WRBY - Fundamentals, Financials, History, and Analysis
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Company Overview

Warby Parker (WRBY) is a direct-to-consumer lifestyle brand that has disrupted the traditional eyewear industry since its inception in 2010. Founded by four entrepreneurial friends, the company set out to provide high-quality, affordable eyewear through an innovative business model and a mission-driven approach.

At the core of Warby Parker's success is its vertically integrated supply chain, which allows the company to design its own frames and lenses and sell them directly to consumers. This model has enabled Warby Parker to offer prescription glasses starting at just $95, a fraction of the industry's typical prices. The company's focus on design, technology, and customer experience has resonated strongly with consumers, helping it become a leader in the eyewear market.

Growth and Expansion

Warby Parker's growth story began with its direct-to-consumer e-commerce platform, which provided a seamless and convenient shopping experience. The company's innovative approach allowed it to cut out the middleman and pass the savings on to consumers. In the early years, Warby Parker faced challenges in building brand awareness and gaining customer trust as an online-only retailer in the eyewear space. However, the company's focus on design, quality, and customer experience quickly gained traction. Warby Parker's virtual try-on tool and hassle-free return policy resonated with customers and helped drive rapid growth.

The company then expanded its omnichannel presence by opening physical retail stores, allowing customers to try on frames in person and receive expert advice from trained opticians. Warby Parker opened its first physical retail location in 2013, offering an omnichannel experience for customers. As of the end of 2024, Warby Parker operated 276 stores across the United States, up from 237 at the end of 2023.

Financials

The company's financial performance has been impressive, with revenue growing 15.2% year-over-year to $771.3 million in 2024. Gross margin expanded to 55.5% in 2024, up from 54.7% in the previous year, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 9.5% from 7.8% over the same period.

For the most recent quarter, Warby Parker reported revenue of $190.6 million, up 17.8% year-over-year. The company's net loss for the quarter was $6.9 million, with operating cash flow of $19.9 million and free cash flow of $2.2 million. The increase in revenue was primarily driven by an increase in average revenue per customer to $307, up 6.8% year-over-year, as well as a 5.6% increase in active customers to 2.51 million.

For the full year 2024, Warby Parker generated $78.83 million in operating cash flow and $35.00 million in free cash flow. However, the company reported a net loss of $13.51 million for the year.

Product Segments

Warby Parker's revenue is primarily derived from two product segments: Eyewear Products and Services & Other.

The Eyewear Products segment includes sales of prescription and non-prescription optical glasses, sunglasses, and contact lenses. This segment accounted for $537.20 million, or 92.5% of total net revenue, for the nine months ended September 30, 2024. The company has seen strong adoption of its higher-priced products, such as precision progressive lenses launched in April 2023.

The Services & Other segment consists of revenue generated from in-person eye exams, prescriptions issued through the Virtual Vision Test app, eyewear accessories, lens replacements, and customer charges for optional expedited shipping. This segment contributed $43.47 million, or 7.5% of total net revenue, for the nine months ended September 30, 2024.

Performance by Product Category

In the fourth quarter of 2024, Warby Parker saw strong growth across its main product categories:

- Glasses sales increased by 15% year-over-year - Contact lens sales grew by 30% year-over-year - Eye exam revenue increased by 45% year-over-year

Key Success Factors

Warby Parker's success has been driven by several key factors, including its strong brand, innovative product offerings, and focus on customer experience. The company's virtual try-on feature and personalized recommendations have helped it maintain high customer satisfaction and loyalty, with revenue retention rates exceeding 100% over 48 months for its 2020 customer cohort.

In addition to its eyewear business, Warby Parker has been expanding its holistic vision care offerings, including eye exams, contact lenses, and insurance coverage. These initiatives have helped drive higher customer lifetime value, with customers who engage across multiple products spending 1.8 times more on their initial purchase and 2.6 times more after 12 months compared to glasses-only customers.

Future Outlook

Looking ahead, Warby Parker is poised for continued growth. The company plans to open 45 new stores in 2025, including a partnership with Target to open five shop-in-shops. Warby Parker is also investing in enhancing its digital experience, with the introduction of an AI-powered recommendation engine and other personalization features to drive e-commerce growth.

For the full year 2025, Warby Parker is guiding for revenue of $878 million to $893 million, representing approximately 14% to 16% growth year-over-year. The company expects adjusted EBITDA of $97 million in 2025, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 11% at the midpoint of the revenue range. Gross margins are expected to remain stable in the mid-50s as a percent of revenue in 2025.

For the first quarter of 2025, Warby Parker is guiding for revenue between $223.5 million and $225.5 million, representing growth of approximately 12% to 13% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $27 million to $28 million, representing a margin of approximately 12% at the midpoint.

Despite the challenges posed by the broader macroeconomic environment, Warby Parker remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for vision care products and services. The company's focus on innovation, customer experience, and social impact continues to differentiate it in a crowded market, positioning it for long-term success.

Industry Trends

The eyewear industry is estimated to be a $68 billion market in the United States, presenting a significant opportunity for Warby Parker. The incidence of myopia is expected to continue rising rapidly, with over 50% of the global population expected to need corrective vision by 2050. This trend bodes well for Warby Parker's future growth prospects.

Liquidity

As of the end of 2024, Warby Parker maintained a strong liquidity position:

- Cash and cash equivalents: $254 million - Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.67 - Current ratio: 2.50 - Quick ratio: 2.10

The company has a $120 million revolving credit facility, expandable to $175 million, which was undrawn as of the end of 2024, except for $4 million in letters of credit. This provides Warby Parker with additional financial flexibility to support its growth initiatives and navigate potential economic uncertainties.

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